Hydrologic Outlook
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
1 of 2 available versions  First Hydrologic Outlook Previous Hydrologic Outlook  Print this page Close this Window

NOTE: This product is more than 24 hours old.
000 FGUS73 KGID 240220 ESFGID NEC129-NEC175-NEC077-NEC125-NEC163-NEC093-NEC019-NEC079-NEC019- KSC147-KSC163-051800- PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 917 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 IN TABLE 1 BELOW...THE CURRENT (CS) AND HISTORICAL (HS) OR NORMAL PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING MINOR...MODERATE...AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES ARE LISTED FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD. CS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS. HS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON HISTORICAL OR NORMAL CONDITIONS. WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS MORE THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL. WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS LESS THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS LOWER THAN NORMAL. ...TABLE 1--PROBABILITIES FOR MINOR...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOODING... VALID PERIOD: 10/27/2014 - 1/25/2015 : CURRENT AND HISTORICAL : CHANCES OF EXCEEDING : FLOOD CATEGORIES : AS A PERCENTAGE (%) CATEGORICAL : FLOOD STAGES (FT) : MINOR MODERATE MAJOR LOCATION MINOR MOD MAJOR : CS HS CS HS CS HS -------- ----- ----- ----- : --- --- --- --- --- --- :LITTLE BLUE RIVER DEWEESE 10.0 16.0 17.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :NORTH FORK SOLOMON GLADE 11.0 16.0 18.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :BOW CREEK STOCKTON 9.0 12.0 13.6 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :PLATTE RIVER COZAD 6.5 8.0 10.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 OVERTON 8.0 12.0 14.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 KEARNEY 6.0 8.0 9.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 GRAND ISLAND 6.5 7.0 7.5 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :WOOD RIVER RIVERDALE 11.0 15.0 20.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 GIBBON 15.0 16.0 16.5 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 ALDA 10.0 11.0 12.2 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :SOUTH LOUP RIVER RAVENNA 5.0 8.0 10.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :MUD CREEK SWEETWATER 15.0 18.0 20.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :SOUTH LOUP RIVER SAINT MICHAEL 6.5 9.0 12.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :MIDDLE LOUP RIVER SAINT PAUL 8.0 10.0 12.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :NORTH LOUP RIVER SAINT PAUL 7.0 10.0 12.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :CEDAR RIVER FULLERTON 9.0 17.0 18.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :LOUP RIVER GENOA 10.5 12.0 13.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :BEAVER CREEK GENOA 15.0 17.0 19.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :REPUBLICAN RIVER RIVERTON 9.0 10.5 13.5 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 GUIDE ROCK 11.0 14.0 16.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 HARDY 11.0 11.5 12.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :SOUTH FORK SOLOMON RIVER WOODSTON 12.0 16.0 27.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :SOUTH FORK SOLOMON OSBORNE 14.0 20.0 27.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :NORTH FORK SOLOMON PORTIS 15.0 20.0 25.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :SOLOMON RIVER BELOIT 20.0 25.0 30.0 : 12 9 11 7 5 <5 :REPUBLICAN RIVER CAMBRIDGE 9.0 10.0 16.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 ORLEANS 9.0 11.0 13.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :BEAVER CREEK BEAVER CITY 11.0 13.0 15.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :SAPPA CREEK BEAVER CITY 16.0 18.0 20.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 STAMFORD 19.0 22.0 26.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 :PRAIRIE DOG CREEK WOODRUFF 21.0 24.0 30.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 LEGEND CS = CONDITIONAL SIMULATION (CURRENT OUTLOOK) HS = HISTORICAL SIMULATION FT = FEET IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD. ...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES... CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS VALID PERIOD: 10/27/2014 - 1/25/2015 LOCATION 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% -------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ :LITTLE BLUE RIVER DEWEESE 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 4.8 6.1 6.8 :NORTH FORK SOLOMON GLADE 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.9 4.8 :BOW CREEK STOCKTON 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.5 5.3 :PLATTE RIVER COZAD 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.6 OVERTON 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1 KEARNEY 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.3 GRAND ISLAND 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.4 4.5 :WOOD RIVER RIVERDALE 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.5 4.2 4.8 GIBBON 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.5 7.3 8.1 ALDA 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.9 6.9 7.1 :SOUTH LOUP RIVER RAVENNA 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.0 :MUD CREEK SWEETWATER 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 7.6 8.5 10.4 :SOUTH LOUP RIVER SAINT MICHAEL 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.1 :MIDDLE LOUP RIVER SAINT PAUL 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 :NORTH LOUP RIVER SAINT PAUL 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.6 :CEDAR RIVER FULLERTON 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.7 5.1 :LOUP RIVER GENOA 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 6.3 7.0 :BEAVER CREEK GENOA 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 5.9 7.7 9.1 :REPUBLICAN RIVER RIVERTON 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.6 3.5 GUIDE ROCK 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.5 5.8 7.8 HARDY 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 3.8 4.9 6.1 :SOUTH FORK SOLOMON RIVER WOODSTON 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.2 5.6 6.1 :SOUTH FORK SOLOMON OSBORNE 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 4.4 7.3 8.2 :NORTH FORK SOLOMON PORTIS 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.9 5.0 6.4 :SOLOMON RIVER BELOIT 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 5.5 25.8 30.1 :REPUBLICAN RIVER CAMBRIDGE 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.1 ORLEANS 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.6 3.7 :BEAVER CREEK BEAVER CITY 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 :SAPPA CREEK BEAVER CITY 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.4 STAMFORD 6.6 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.1 7.2 :PRAIRIE DOG CREEK WOODRUFF 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.8 5.1 IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD. ...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES... CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS VALID PERIOD: 10/27/2014 - 1/25/2015 LOCATION 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% -------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ :LITTLE BLUE RIVER DEWEESE 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 :NORTH FORK SOLOMON GLADE 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 :BOW CREEK STOCKTON 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 :PLATTE RIVER COZAD 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 OVERTON 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 KEARNEY 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 GRAND ISLAND 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 :WOOD RIVER RIVERDALE 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 GIBBON 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 ALDA 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 :SOUTH LOUP RIVER RAVENNA 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 :MUD CREEK SWEETWATER 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 :SOUTH LOUP RIVER SAINT MICHAEL 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 :MIDDLE LOUP RIVER SAINT PAUL 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 :NORTH LOUP RIVER SAINT PAUL 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 :CEDAR RIVER FULLERTON 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 :LOUP RIVER GENOA 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 :BEAVER CREEK GENOA 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 :REPUBLICAN RIVER RIVERTON 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 GUIDE ROCK 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 HARDY 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 :SOUTH FORK SOLOMON RIVER WOODSTON 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 :SOUTH FORK SOLOMON OSBORNE 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 :NORTH FORK SOLOMON PORTIS 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 :SOLOMON RIVER BELOIT 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 :REPUBLICAN RIVER CAMBRIDGE 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 ORLEANS 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 :BEAVER CREEK BEAVER CITY 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 :SAPPA CREEK BEAVER CITY 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 STAMFORD 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 :PRAIRIE DOG CREEK WOODRUFF 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 THESE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS CONTAIN FORECAST VALUES THAT ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA...INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...SOIL MOISTURE...SNOW COVER...AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING A RANGE OF PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS ARE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE`S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE. VISIT OUR WEB SITE WEATHER.GOV/GID FOR MORE WEATHER AND WATER INFORMATION. THE NEXT OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON 26 NOV 2014. $$

Close this window


The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

National Weather Service
Hastings Weather Forecast Office
6365 Osborne Drive West
Hastings, NE 68901
(402) 462-2127
Page last modified: 24-Oct-2014 2:20 AM
Disclaimer
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
About Us
Career Opportunities