000
FGUS73 KPAH 041554
ESFPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-051600-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1054 AM CDT TUE JUN 4 2013

...WET FORECAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED...BUT HIGHER TOTALS COULD
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING...

THE FORECAST MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF SETTING UP A
SCENARIO WHERE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LAY OUT SOMEWHERE ALONG THE
LOWER OHIO RIVER BOUNDARY DURING THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING TIME PERIOD.

WITH THE BOUNDARY STRADDLED IN THE VICINITY AND NOT MOVING VERY
MUCH OVER A 36 TO 48 HOUR PERIOD...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL ROTATE
OUT OF THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM AND `TOP` THE BOUNDARY...RESULTING IN
THE INITIATION OF ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MID
TO LATE WEEK PERIOD.

AN AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCH ACCUMULATED RAINFALL FORECAST IS EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS...DUE TO THE STATIONARY NATURE OF
THE BOUNDARY AND THE MEAN SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVERTOP
IT...THAT SOME THUNDERSTORMS OR HEAVY RAIN CELLS COULD PROPAGATE
OVER THE SAME AREAS IN REPETITION. IF THIS OCCURS...THEN LOCALLY
HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS COULD BE REALIZED. THAT WOULD SET THE STAGE
FOR FLOODING...AT LEAST ON A LOCALIZED SCALE...ESPECIALLY IF IT
FELL OVER AREAS THAT HAVE RECENTLY EXPERIENCED HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS.

BE ADVISED THE NWS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST
MODELS AND PROVIDE YOU AS MUCH ADVANCE WATCH AND WARNING AS
POSSIBLE ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM.

$$