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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Northeast River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the Tonawanda Creek at Rapids are issued routinely year-round.
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Upstream Gauge - at Batavia Upstream Gauge
Zoom Level:16
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 16
Moderate Flood Stage: 14
Flood Stage: 12
Action Stage: 10
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 16.96 ft on 04/01/1960
(2) 16.38 ft on 02/26/1985
(3) 15.91 ft on 03/07/1979
(4) 15.46 ft on 01/25/1957
(5) 15.33 ft on 01/10/1998
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 15.13 ft on 12/24/2013
(2) 13.60 ft on 03/11/2009
(3) 14.38 ft on 02/15/2009
(4) 14.73 ft on 12/30/2008
(5) 14.17 ft on 03/17/2007
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 0.91 ft on 07/28/0083
(2) 1.00 ft on 08/03/1999
(3) 1.10 ft on 09/03/1995
(4) 1.40 ft on 06/15/1999
(5) 1.50 ft on 07/15/1998
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
16 Major flood, considerable residential flooding in most of North Clarence, North Amherst, Royalton, and Newstead. Widespread road closures. Ransom Oaks area in East Amherst is inundated with backwater into Ransom, Mud, Beeman, and other small creeks. Residential flooding and widespread road closures along the creek from North Amherst to the Alabama Swamps.
14 Moderate flood, some residential flooding with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into Newstead and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks such as Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in some low lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and Wolcott Road, with widespread farmland flooding.
12 Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
10 Action stage, some impact to low lying roads in Royalton and Newstead, possibly impacting Fletcher and Burdick Roads.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
3 Day (SREF) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
SREF Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble  GEFS Ensemble 

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 48 hours.

See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 3,7 day graphics. 

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
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Buffalo, NY 14225-1405
(716) 565-0204
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Page last modified: 21-Dec-2016 10:38 PM
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