Lake Erie near Buffalo
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Upstream gauge unavailableDownstream gauge unavailableWarning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.No secondary data available. Transformations for Flow data and a secondary Y axis cannot be made at this time.
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Observed (OBS) 06/22/2025 10:24 AM EDTCATEGORY STAGE 
Major Flooding 11 ft Moderate Flooding 9 ft Minor Flooding 8 ft Action 6 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Graphical forecasts are not available during times of high water, forecast crest information can be found in the local WFO web page.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 11 - Flooding in the First Ward of South Buffalo, Riverworks, Hamburg St and along the Buffalo River. Widespread lakeshore flooding on Hoover Beach, South Grand Island and Dunkirk. Flooding at Van Buren Point and Silver Creek, lakewalls also impacted. Flooding on Old Lakeshore Rd in Evans.
- 10 - Flooding at Canalside, Sunset Beach, Hoover Beach, and Ralph Wilson Park. Flooding starts on Niagara and Tonawanda St. and the mouth of Buffalo River. Dunkirk lakewall impacted. Flooding at North Grand Island Bridge at I-190 ramps, LaSalle Expressway, and Niagara Parkway and Colony, Bronson, and East River roads on Grand Island.
- 9 - Flooding begins at Canalside, minor flooding at Sunset Beach. Possible flooding on Lakefront Blvd, Dunkirk City Pier, and Crooket Brook Dr and Rt. 5 in Hamburg. Dunkirk breakwall may be impacted. Minor flooding begins on Cayuga Island.
Gauge Info
| Coordinates | 42.8767, -78.8900 |
| RFC | NERFC |
| State | NY |
| WFO | BUF |
| County | Erie |
| Data Provider(s) | |
| National Ocean Service | National Ocean Service |
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
| 1. | 10.67 ft | on 12-23-2022 |
| 2. | 10.57 ft | on 12-11-2021 |
| 3. | 10.36 ft | on 12-12-2020 |
| 4. | 11.12 ft | on 11-15-2020 |
| 5. | 10.65 ft | on 11-01-2019 |
Recent Crests
| 1. | 10.67 ft | on 12-23-2022 |
| 2. | 10.57 ft | on 12-11-2021 |
| 3. | 10.36 ft | on 12-12-2020 |
| 4. | 11.12 ft | on 11-15-2020 |
| 5. | 10.65 ft | on 11-01-2019 |
| 6. | 11.06 ft | on 01-30-2008 |
| 7. | 12.08 ft | on 12-02-1985 |
| 8. | 10.65 ft | on 04-06-1979 |
| 9. | 10.31 ft | on 11-10-1975 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 12.08 ft | on 12-02-1985 |
| 2. | 11.12 ft | on 11-15-2020 |
| 3. | 11.06 ft | on 01-30-2008 |
| 4. | 10.67 ft | on 12-23-2022 |
| 5. | 10.65 ft | on 04-06-1979 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 12.08 ft | on 12-02-1985 |
| 2. | 11.12 ft | on 11-15-2020 |
| 3. | 11.06 ft | on 01-30-2008 |
| 4. | 10.67 ft | on 12-23-2022 |
| 5. | 10.65 ft | on 04-06-1979 |
| 6. | 10.65 ft | on 11-01-2019 |
| 7. | 10.57 ft | on 12-11-2021 |
| 8. | 10.36 ft | on 12-12-2020 |
| 9. | 10.31 ft | on 11-10-1975 |
Gauge Photos
No Images Found
Probability Information
No Images Available
Unique Local Info
National Ocean Service (NOS) Breakwater Gauge
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.