Web Portal Changes: The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) hosted at https://water.weather.gov will be replaced by the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS), with a target of March 2024. Existing AHPS content and features will be preserved and expanded within NWPS.

Experimental National Water Center Products: The National Hydrologic Discussion, Area Hydrologic Discussion, and Flood Hazard Outlook, and real-time geospatial services depicting River Forecast Center and National Water Model forecasts, continue to be accessible via https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations, as described in the StoryMap here.

Weather Forecast Office Seattle, WA

Northwest River Forecast Center

Hydrograph

River at a Glance

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Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Not Available Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Not Available Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

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Printable Image About this graph Tabular Data (UTC) Tabular Data (PDT) Datum: NAVD88 Metadata

NOTE: River forecasts for this location take into account past and future precipitation. The stages/flows that will occur may be different if future rainfall is different than forecast. Reliability of the Forecast: Based on current and forecast river, weather and reservoir conditions NOTE: Forecasts for the Skagit River near Concrete are issued routinely year-round.

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Upstream Gauge

Downstream Gauge

Flood Categories (in feet) Major Flood Stage: 32.5 Moderate Flood Stage: 30 Flood Stage: 28 Action Stage: 24.5 Low Stage (in feet): 0 Historic Crests (1) 69.30 ft on 01/01/1815 (2) 42.21 ft on 10/21/2003 (3) 41.57 ft on 11/29/1995 (4) 40.80 ft on 11/27/1949 (5) 40.20 ft on 11/10/1990 Show More Historic Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Recent Crests (1) 29.49 ft on 11/29/2021 (P) (2) 38.93 ft on 11/15/2021 (P) (3) 29.44 ft on 11/13/2021 (P) (4) 31.58 ft on 10/29/2021 (P) (5) 30.66 ft on 02/02/2020 (P) Show More Recent Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Low Water Records Currently none available.

Zoom Level:16 Legend FEMA Layer Gauge Location Disclaimer Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

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40	the Skagit River will cause severe near record flooding from Rockport downstream through Sedro Woolley. Deep and swift flood waters will inundate and damage roads...farms and business and residential areas...especially Cape Horn...Hamilton...and Thunderbird. Cockreham Island...the Nookachamps and the Sterling areas will be inundated. Levees east of Sedro Woolley may be damaged. This level at this location on the Skagit corresponds to a Phase 1 flood in the Skagit County flood system.
37	the Skagit River will cause major flooding from Rockport downstream through Sedro Woolley. Deep and swift flood waters will inundate many roads...farms...and some business and residential areas especially Cape Horn...Hamilton...and Thunderbird. Cockreham Island...the Nookachamps area and the Sterling area will be inundated. Levees east of Sedro Woolley may be damaged. This level for this location on the Skagit corresponds to a Phase 1 flood in the Skagit County flood system.
32.5	the Skagit River will cause flooding from Rockport downstream through Sedro Woolley. Flood waters will inundate low areas near the river...roads...and several residential areas mainly Cape Horn...Hamilton and Thunderbird. Some water will flow onto Cockreham Island and into the Nookachamps and Sterling areas. Flooding will also occur in headwaters...tributaries...and other streams within the Skagit Basin. This level for this location corresponds to a Phase 2 flood in the Skagit County flood system.
28	the Skagit River will flood low areas and sections of roads along the river from Rockport downstream to Sedro Woolley. This level for this location on the Skagit corresponds to a Phase 3 flood in the Skagit County flood system.

About This Location

Latitude: 48.524444° N, Longitude: 121.769722° W, Horizontal Datum: NAD27 River Stage Reference Frame Gauge Height Flood Stage Uses NWS stage 0 ft 28 ft Interpreting hydrographs and NWS watch, warnings, and forecasts, and inundation maps Vertical Datum Elevation (gauge height = 0) Elevation (gauge height = flood stage) Elevation information source NAVD88 133.96 ft 161.96 ft Survey grade GPS equipment, FEMA flood plain maps, newer USGS topographic maps NGVD 29 130.0 ft 158.0 ft Older USGS topographic maps, NGVD29 benchmarks MSL Not Available Not Available Older USGS topographic maps, MSL benchmarks Other Not Available Not Available   Current/Historical Observations: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Concrete

Resources

Hydrologic Resources Text Products Past Precipitation Forecast Precipitation River Forecast Centers River Stage Summary USGS Streamflow Data USACE real time/archived data query

Additional Resources Area Hydrographs NWS Precipitation and River Forecasting AHPS Iframes for Developers Mobile iNWS for emergency management Inundation Mapping Locations Snow Information Flood Smart/National Flood Insurance Program

Collaborative Agencies The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here. NWS Information National Weather Service Seattle Weather Forecast Office 7600 Sandpoint Way NE Seattle, WA 98115-6349 (206) 526-6087 Ask Questions/Webmaster Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:27 PM Disclaimer Credits Glossary Privacy Policy About Us Career Opportunities