Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Upstream gauge unavailableDownstream gauge unavailableWarning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.
Traces and Thresholds Click to turn on/off display
Observed (OBS) 06/13/2025 10:00 PM EDTOfficial Forecast (FCST) 06/13/2025 10:35 AM EDTCATEGORY STAGE 
Major Flooding 14 ft Moderate Flooding 12 ft Minor Flooding 10 ft Action 8 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Forecasts are issued routinely year-round.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 14 - Major flood, widespread flooding in Cazenovia Park, Southgate Plaza, Mill Road and Seneca Streets in West Seneca, Parkside Drive, Willowdale Road, and Orchard Park Rd. May impact homes and commercial properties. Level near top of controls in South Buffalo downstream from Cazenovia Park. Localized flooding upstream in East Aurora.
- 12 - Moderate flood, localized flooding possible in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West Seneca.
- 10 - Flood stage, minor flooding can be expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South Buffalo.
Gauge Info
| Coordinates | 42.8297, -78.7753 |
| RFC | NERFC |
| State | NY |
| WFO | BUF |
| County | Erie |
| Data Provider(s) | |
| US Geological Survey | USGS--Water Resources of the United States |
| USGS | 04215500 |
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
| 1. | 10.21 ft | on 02-18-2022 |
| 2. | 12.29 ft | on 11-07-2017 |
| 3. | 10.94 ft | on 11-24-2014 |
| 4. | 12.25 ft | on 12-22-2013 |
| 5. | 14.15 ft | on 08-10-2009 |
Recent Crests
| 1. | 10.21 ft | on 02-18-2022 |
| 2. | 12.29 ft | on 11-07-2017 |
| 3. | 10.94 ft | on 11-24-2014 |
| 4. | 12.25 ft | on 12-22-2013 |
| 5. | 14.15 ft | on 08-10-2009 |
| 6. | 11.51 ft | on 03-08-2009 |
| 7. | 13.00 ft | on 12-27-2008 |
| 8. | 12.85 ft | on 03-15-2007 |
| 9. | 13.18 ft | on 09-16-2005 |
| 10. | 14.85 ft | on 09-09-2004 |
| 11. | 11.63 ft | on 03-17-2003 |
| 12. | 12.36 ft | on 02-01-2002 |
| 13. | 12.79 ft | on 09-23-2000 |
| 14. | 11.99 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
| 15. | 12.30 ft | on 01-19-1996 |
| 16. | 11.37 ft | on 06-01-1989 |
| 17. | 11.21 ft | on 02-23-1985 |
| 18. | 13.28 ft | on 09-14-1979 |
| 19. | 14.05 ft | on 03-21-1978 |
| 20. | 11.87 ft | on 09-25-1977 |
| 21. | 12.05 ft | on 04-23-1977 |
| 22. | 11.71 ft | on 01-29-1975 |
| 23. | 11.55 ft | on 12-06-1972 |
| 24. | 13.53 ft | on 06-23-1972 |
| 25. | 11.45 ft | on 09-29-1967 |
| 26. | 11.42 ft | on 04-02-1959 |
| 27. | 14.09 ft | on 01-22-1957 |
| 28. | 14.65 ft | on 03-07-1956 |
| 29. | 15.82 ft | on 03-01-1955 |
| 30. | 11.14 ft | on 05-26-1953 |
| 31. | 14.02 ft | on 10-02-1945 |
| 32. | 15.11 ft | on 03-17-1942 |
| 33. | 11.95 ft | on 04-05-1941 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 15.82 ft | on 03-01-1955 |
| 2. | 15.11 ft | on 03-17-1942 |
| 3. | 14.85 ft | on 09-09-2004 |
| 4. | 14.65 ft | on 03-07-1956 |
| 5. | 14.15 ft | on 08-10-2009 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 15.82 ft | on 03-01-1955 |
| 2. | 15.11 ft | on 03-17-1942 |
| 3. | 14.85 ft | on 09-09-2004 |
| 4. | 14.65 ft | on 03-07-1956 |
| 5. | 14.15 ft | on 08-10-2009 |
| 6. | 14.09 ft | on 01-22-1957 |
| 7. | 14.05 ft | on 03-21-1978 |
| 8. | 14.02 ft | on 10-02-1945 |
| 9. | 13.53 ft | on 06-23-1972 |
| 10. | 13.28 ft | on 09-14-1979 |
| 11. | 13.18 ft | on 09-16-2005 |
| 12. | 13.00 ft | on 12-27-2008 |
| 13. | 12.85 ft | on 03-15-2007 |
| 14. | 12.79 ft | on 09-23-2000 |
| 15. | 12.36 ft | on 02-01-2002 |
| 16. | 12.30 ft | on 01-19-1996 |
| 17. | 12.29 ft | on 11-07-2017 |
| 18. | 12.25 ft | on 12-22-2013 |
| 19. | 12.05 ft | on 04-23-1977 |
| 20. | 11.99 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
| 21. | 11.95 ft | on 04-05-1941 |
| 22. | 11.87 ft | on 09-25-1977 |
| 23. | 11.71 ft | on 01-29-1975 |
| 24. | 11.63 ft | on 03-17-2003 |
| 25. | 11.55 ft | on 12-06-1972 |
| 26. | 11.51 ft | on 03-08-2009 |
| 27. | 11.45 ft | on 09-29-1967 |
| 28. | 11.42 ft | on 04-02-1959 |
| 29. | 11.37 ft | on 06-01-1989 |
| 30. | 11.21 ft | on 02-23-1985 |
| 31. | 11.14 ft | on 05-26-1953 |
| 32. | 10.94 ft | on 11-24-2014 |
| 33. | 10.21 ft | on 02-18-2022 |
Vertical Datum Table
| type | NAVD88 |
|---|---|
| major Flooding | 617.80 ft |
| moderate Flooding | 615.80 ft |
| minor Flooding | 613.80 ft |
| action | 611.80 ft |
| Latest Value | 606.34 ft |
| Gauge Zero | 603.80 ft |
Gauge Photos
No Images Found
Unique Local Info
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Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels |
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| 3 Day (SREF) | 7 Day (NAEFS) | 7 Day (GEFS) |
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Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 48 hours.
See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 3,7 day graphics.
Click individual graphics to enlarge.
Observations courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey.Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.