Nolichucky River at Embreeville
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
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Observed (OBS) 06/26/2025 8:30 PM EDTOfficial Forecast (FCST) 06/26/2025 8:45 AM EDTRecord: 33.9 ftLow Threshold: 0 ftCATEGORY STAGE Major Flooding 20 ft Moderate Flooding 16 ft Minor Flooding 12 ft Action 10 ft Reliability of the Forecast: Based on current and forecast river, weather and reservoir conditions
NOTE: Forecasts are issued routinely year-round.
River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 33.88 - Flood of record from the 2024 Helene event, as established by high water marks.
- 24 - Previous Flood of Record from 1901.
- 21.5 - A Bumpus Cove Road resident reported that the 1977 flood was said to have gotten into the house she lives in, which sits on a concrete slab, while it did not get into the house next door, which sits two feet higher atop a crawl space. This is a source of uncertainty of impacts at this location and its relation to gauge measurements downstream near the bridge and any effects of damming the bridge may cause near the gauge. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
- 18 - Water might threaten the lowest of a row of riverside homes along Bumpus Cove Road a half mile upstream from the bridge. Flows this high contain increasing uncertainty as to how the gauge readings downstream near the bridge are reflective of stream heights and impacts along Bumpus Cove Road. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
- 17 - Low spots along Hwy 107 between Embreeville and Erwin might flood.
- 16 - Water reaches the pad of the train car at KOA Campground. This campground was destructively impacted by Helene flooding; perhaps it will be restored.
- 14 - Back yards of riverside homes along Bumpus Cove Road take substantial water. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
- 13 - Portions of AJ Willis Road will flood.
- 12 - Pasture land around the Highway 107 bridge floods. The channel narrows at the bridge just downstream of the gauge, which may elevate the river level at the gauge during higher flows due to damming effect.
- 11.5 - Property at Bumpus Cove Road and Little Germany Road floods. Much of the Bumpus Cove area was destroyed by Helene flooding; some structures may gradually be rebuilt.
- 11 - The main camping level of the KOA campground is covered by water. This campground was destructively impacted by Helene flooding; perhaps it will be restored.
- 9.5 - Low spots along Little Germany Road will begin to flood.
- 8.5 - KOA campground impacts increase as water flows through portions a little further in. A narrowing of the channel just downstream from the campground might elevate stream height in the campground during higher flows due to a damming effect.
- 6.5 - KOA campground begins to take precautions with sites closest to river.
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
1. | 33.88 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 8.74 ft | on 01-09-2024 |
3. | 11.48 ft | on 08-18-2021 |
4. | 10.02 ft | on 04-13-2020 |
5. | 11.62 ft | on 04-19-2019 |
Recent Crests
1. | 33.88 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 8.74 ft | on 01-09-2024 |
3. | 11.48 ft | on 08-18-2021 |
4. | 10.02 ft | on 04-13-2020 |
5. | 11.62 ft | on 04-19-2019 |
6. | 8.81 ft | on 09-17-2018 |
7. | 10.28 ft | on 05-30-2018 |
8. | 8.95 ft | on 10-23-2017 |
9. | 8.69 ft | on 12-02-2015 |
10. | 9.01 ft | on 10-15-2014 |
11. | 9.19 ft | on 07-04-2013 |
12. | 10.87 ft | on 05-06-2013 |
13. | 9.06 ft | on 01-31-2013 |
14. | 15.55 ft | on 09-17-2004 |
15. | 14.92 ft | on 09-08-2004 |
16. | 10.08 ft | on 11-20-2003 |
17. | 13.45 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
18. | 9.19 ft | on 01-27-1996 |
19. | 10.27 ft | on 01-19-1996 |
20. | 15.53 ft | on 01-15-1995 |
21. | 11.63 ft | on 08-17-1994 |
22. | 8.00 ft | on 04-21-1992 |
23. | 9.50 ft | on 12-03-1991 |
24. | 9.30 ft | on 03-17-1990 |
25. | 9.27 ft | on 09-22-1989 |
26. | 7.83 ft | on 03-01-1987 |
27. | 9.29 ft | on 05-07-1984 |
28. | 8.96 ft | on 02-02-1983 |
29. | 7.89 ft | on 02-03-1982 |
30. | 21.52 ft | on 11-06-1977 |
31. | 10.60 ft | on 04-05-1977 |
32. | 10.01 ft | on 03-17-1973 |
33. | 11.05 ft | on 06-21-1972 |
34. | 11.52 ft | on 02-13-1966 |
35. | 11.59 ft | on 03-26-1965 |
36. | 12.76 ft | on 03-12-1963 |
37. | 11.00 ft | on 04-05-1957 |
38. | 10.71 ft | on 06-16-1949 |
39. | 18.57 ft | on 08-13-1940 |
40. | 10.69 ft | on 03-26-1935 |
41. | 10.30 ft | on 07-15-1934 |
42. | 10.55 ft | on 10-22-1929 |
43. | 13.85 ft | on 08-16-1928 |
44. | 11.50 ft | on 08-03-1921 |
45. | 24.00 ft | on 05-21-1901 |
Historic Crests
1. | 33.88 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 24.00 ft | on 05-21-1901 |
3. | 21.52 ft | on 11-06-1977 |
4. | 18.57 ft | on 08-13-1940 |
5. | 15.55 ft | on 09-17-2004 |
Historic Crests
1. | 33.88 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 24.00 ft | on 05-21-1901 |
3. | 21.52 ft | on 11-06-1977 |
4. | 18.57 ft | on 08-13-1940 |
5. | 15.55 ft | on 09-17-2004 |
6. | 15.53 ft | on 01-15-1995 |
7. | 14.92 ft | on 09-08-2004 |
8. | 13.85 ft | on 08-16-1928 |
9. | 13.45 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
10. | 12.76 ft | on 03-12-1963 |
11. | 11.63 ft | on 08-17-1994 |
12. | 11.62 ft | on 04-19-2019 |
13. | 11.59 ft | on 03-26-1965 |
14. | 11.52 ft | on 02-13-1966 |
15. | 11.50 ft | on 08-03-1921 |
16. | 11.48 ft | on 08-18-2021 |
17. | 11.05 ft | on 06-21-1972 |
18. | 11.00 ft | on 04-05-1957 |
19. | 10.87 ft | on 05-06-2013 |
20. | 10.71 ft | on 06-16-1949 |
21. | 10.69 ft | on 03-26-1935 |
22. | 10.60 ft | on 04-05-1977 |
23. | 10.55 ft | on 10-22-1929 |
24. | 10.30 ft | on 07-15-1934 |
25. | 10.28 ft | on 05-30-2018 |
26. | 10.27 ft | on 01-19-1996 |
27. | 10.08 ft | on 11-20-2003 |
28. | 10.02 ft | on 04-13-2020 |
29. | 10.01 ft | on 03-17-1973 |
30. | 9.50 ft | on 12-03-1991 |
31. | 9.30 ft | on 03-17-1990 |
32. | 9.29 ft | on 05-07-1984 |
33. | 9.27 ft | on 09-22-1989 |
34. | 9.19 ft | on 01-27-1996 |
35. | 9.19 ft | on 07-04-2013 |
36. | 9.06 ft | on 01-31-2013 |
37. | 9.01 ft | on 10-15-2014 |
38. | 8.96 ft | on 02-02-1983 |
39. | 8.95 ft | on 10-23-2017 |
40. | 8.81 ft | on 09-17-2018 |
41. | 8.74 ft | on 01-09-2024 |
42. | 8.69 ft | on 12-02-2015 |
43. | 8.00 ft | on 04-21-1992 |
44. | 7.89 ft | on 02-03-1982 |
45. | 7.83 ft | on 03-01-1987 |
Vertical Datum Table
type | NAVD88 | NGVD29 |
---|---|---|
major Flooding | 1538.95 ft | 1539.30 ft |
moderate Flooding | 1534.95 ft | 1535.30 ft |
minor Flooding | 1530.95 ft | 1531.30 ft |
action | 1528.95 ft | 1529.30 ft |
Latest Value | 1520.97 ft | 1521.32 ft |
Gauge Zero | 1518.95 ft | 1519.30 ft |
Gauge Photos
No Images Found
Probability Information
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.