Aquia Creek near Garrisonville
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Upstream gauge unavailableDownstream gauge unavailableWarning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.
Traces and Thresholds Click to turn on/off display
Observed (OBS) 06/19/2025 12:30 PM EDTRecord: 16.3 ftCATEGORY STAGE 
Major Flooding 20 ft Moderate Flooding 17 ft Minor Flooding 15 ft Action 12 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Forecasts are not available. Only observed stages are available for this point.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 20 - Route 641 is flooded from near the bridge eastward to nearly the Hulvey Drive intersection. At least two structures off Hulvey Drive are flooded.
- 17 - Water covers the bridge and part of the road on Route 641. At least one home is flooded.
- 15 - Water nears a home off Hulvey Drive in Garrisonville.
Gauge Info
| Coordinates | 38.4903, -77.4339 |
| RFC | MARFC |
| State | VA |
| WFO | LWX |
| County | Stafford |
| Data Provider(s) | |
| US Geological Survey | USGS--Water Resources of the United States |
| USGS | 01660400 |
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
| 1. | 8.50 ft | on 07-25-2018 |
| 2. | 8.76 ft | on 11-28-1993 |
| 3. | 11.40 ft | on 05-06-1989 |
| 4. | 12.08 ft | on 09-26-1975 |
| 5. | 16.32 ft | on 06-22-1972 |
Recent Crests
| 1. | 8.50 ft | on 07-25-2018 |
| 2. | 8.76 ft | on 11-28-1993 |
| 3. | 11.40 ft | on 05-06-1989 |
| 4. | 12.08 ft | on 09-26-1975 |
| 5. | 16.32 ft | on 06-22-1972 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 16.32 ft | on 06-22-1972 |
| 2. | 12.08 ft | on 09-26-1975 |
| 3. | 11.40 ft | on 05-06-1989 |
| 4. | 8.76 ft | on 11-28-1993 |
| 5. | 8.50 ft | on 07-25-2018 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 16.32 ft | on 06-22-1972 |
| 2. | 12.08 ft | on 09-26-1975 |
| 3. | 11.40 ft | on 05-06-1989 |
| 4. | 8.76 ft | on 11-28-1993 |
| 5. | 8.50 ft | on 07-25-2018 |
Vertical Datum Table
| type | NAVD88 |
|---|---|
| major Flooding | 139.68 ft |
| moderate Flooding | 136.68 ft |
| minor Flooding | 134.68 ft |
| action | 131.68 ft |
| Latest Value | 120.75 ft |
| Gauge Zero | 119.68 ft |
Gauge Photos
No Images Found
Probability Information
No Images Available
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.