Rivanna River at Palmyra
Flood Watch
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Warning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.
Traces and Thresholds Click to turn on/off display
Observed (OBS) 06/14/2025 9:20 PM EDTOfficial Forecast (FCST) 06/14/2025 9:17 PM EDTRecord: 39.9 ftCATEGORY STAGE 
Major Flooding 32 ft Moderate Flooding 25 ft Minor Flooding 17 ft Action 15 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Forecasts are issued routinely year-round.
River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 72 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 44.5 - River stage sensor operating limit
- 22 - Farmland flooded downstream, including a section of Carysbrook Road.
- 18 - River out of banks at Palmyra with flooding of town boat launch and upstream at Crofton Boat Ramp.
- 17 - Bankfull and flood stage. Overflow begins on right bank, affecting adjacent farmland and floodplain
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
| 1. | 22.06 ft | on 05-14-2025 | (P) |
| 2. | 23.29 ft | on 10-01-2024 | |
| 3. | 19.76 ft | on 09-26-2024 | |
| 4. | 23.67 ft | on 01-10-2024 | |
| 5. | 20.94 ft | on 12-25-2020 |
Recent Crests
| 1. | 22.06 ft | on 05-14-2025 | (P) |
| 2. | 23.29 ft | on 10-01-2024 | |
| 3. | 19.76 ft | on 09-26-2024 | |
| 4. | 23.67 ft | on 01-10-2024 | |
| 5. | 20.94 ft | on 12-25-2020 | |
| 6. | 22.88 ft | on 11-12-2020 | |
| 7. | 17.37 ft | on 04-14-2020 | |
| 8. | 17.20 ft | on 03-22-2019 | |
| 9. | 19.57 ft | on 12-21-2018 | |
| 10. | 16.30 ft | on 12-16-2018 | |
| 11. | 18.63 ft | on 11-16-2018 | |
| 12. | 19.97 ft | on 10-12-2018 | |
| 13. | 24.22 ft | on 09-18-2018 | |
| 14. | 19.72 ft | on 06-23-2018 | |
| 15. | 25.51 ft | on 05-31-2018 | |
| 16. | 19.20 ft | on 05-19-2018 | |
| 17. | 17.93 ft | on 02-11-2018 | |
| 18. | 17.83 ft | on 05-06-2017 | |
| 19. | 14.80 ft | on 02-25-2016 | |
| 20. | 17.78 ft | on 04-20-2015 | |
| 21. | 24.72 ft | on 05-16-2014 | |
| 22. | 21.50 ft | on 05-01-2014 | |
| 23. | 19.33 ft | on 01-31-2013 | |
| 24. | 19.46 ft | on 12-08-2011 | |
| 25. | 19.71 ft | on 04-17-2011 | |
| 26. | 17.79 ft | on 03-11-2011 | |
| 27. | 23.52 ft | on 01-26-2010 | |
| 28. | 13.84 ft | on 05-09-2008 | |
| 29. | 19.09 ft | on 10-07-2006 | |
| 30. | 19.53 ft | on 11-30-2005 | |
| 31. | 20.78 ft | on 01-14-2005 | |
| 32. | 18.38 ft | on 09-29-2004 | |
| 33. | 17.97 ft | on 09-09-2004 | |
| 34. | 19.59 ft | on 12-11-2003 | |
| 35. | 25.91 ft | on 09-19-2003 | |
| 36. | 21.32 ft | on 07-03-2003 | |
| 37. | 20.68 ft | on 03-21-2003 | |
| 38. | 23.79 ft | on 02-23-2003 | |
| 39. | 23.31 ft | on 09-30-1999 | |
| 40. | 21.26 ft | on 05-08-1998 | |
| 41. | 18.75 ft | on 03-21-1998 | |
| 42. | 23.96 ft | on 02-18-1998 | |
| 43. | 18.45 ft | on 02-05-1998 | |
| 44. | 21.99 ft | on 01-29-1998 | |
| 45. | 14.74 ft | on 07-24-1997 | |
| 46. | 31.54 ft | on 09-07-1996 | |
| 47. | 17.95 ft | on 01-27-1996 | |
| 48. | 24.80 ft | on 01-20-1996 | |
| 49. | 19.36 ft | on 06-28-1995 | |
| 50. | 17.81 ft | on 03-29-1994 | |
| 51. | 20.93 ft | on 03-28-1994 | |
| 52. | 18.31 ft | on 02-24-1994 | |
| 53. | 16.23 ft | on 12-05-1993 | |
| 54. | 22.48 ft | on 11-28-1993 | |
| 55. | 17.11 ft | on 04-16-1993 | |
| 56. | 13.58 ft | on 03-18-1993 | |
| 57. | 26.25 ft | on 03-05-1993 | |
| 58. | 19.37 ft | on 12-11-1992 | |
| 59. | 21.13 ft | on 11-24-1992 | |
| 60. | 16.54 ft | on 06-05-1992 | |
| 61. | 23.77 ft | on 04-22-1992 | |
| 62. | 21.94 ft | on 10-24-1990 | |
| 63. | 18.73 ft | on 05-27-1990 | |
| 64. | 26.33 ft | on 05-06-1989 | |
| 65. | 16.92 ft | on 11-30-1987 | |
| 66. | 26.65 ft | on 09-09-1987 | |
| 67. | 25.59 ft | on 04-17-1987 | |
| 68. | 26.53 ft | on 11-05-1985 | |
| 69. | 19.57 ft | on 08-19-1985 | |
| 70. | 23.76 ft | on 03-29-1984 | |
| 71. | 24.42 ft | on 02-15-1984 | |
| 72. | 21.87 ft | on 04-24-1983 | |
| 73. | 20.20 ft | on 04-23-1983 | |
| 74. | 22.02 ft | on 04-03-1983 | |
| 75. | 19.53 ft | on 06-14-1982 | |
| 76. | 18.31 ft | on 05-28-1982 | |
| 77. | 18.27 ft | on 02-03-1982 | |
| 78. | 17.19 ft | on 04-09-1980 | |
| 79. | 24.45 ft | on 09-22-1979 | |
| 80. | 25.50 ft | on 09-06-1979 | |
| 81. | 22.64 ft | on 06-03-1979 | |
| 82. | 23.58 ft | on 02-26-1979 | |
| 83. | 18.63 ft | on 04-05-1978 | |
| 84. | 23.51 ft | on 01-26-1978 | |
| 85. | 20.07 ft | on 01-09-1978 | |
| 86. | 22.41 ft | on 10-10-1976 | |
| 87. | 18.99 ft | on 01-01-1976 | |
| 88. | 23.46 ft | on 09-26-1975 | |
| 89. | 26.38 ft | on 03-20-1975 | |
| 90. | 20.32 ft | on 12-21-1973 | |
| 91. | 21.07 ft | on 02-03-1973 | |
| 92. | 31.07 ft | on 10-06-1972 | |
| 93. | 37.34 ft | on 06-22-1972 | |
| 94. | 23.39 ft | on 05-31-1971 | |
| 95. | 39.85 ft | on 08-20-1969 | |
| 96. | 13.40 ft | on 01-14-1968 | |
| 97. | 18.41 ft | on 03-08-1967 | |
| 98. | 14.92 ft | on 02-14-1966 | |
| 99. | 21.77 ft | on 02-08-1965 | |
| 100. | 18.63 ft | on 03-12-1963 | |
| 101. | 24.27 ft | on 10-21-1961 | |
| 102. | 17.83 ft | on 04-13-1961 | |
| 103. | 18.27 ft | on 02-19-1960 | |
| 104. | 20.41 ft | on 10-01-1959 | |
| 105. | 15.78 ft | on 06-03-1959 | |
| 106. | 13.91 ft | on 03-31-1958 | |
| 107. | 14.15 ft | on 04-06-1957 | |
| 108. | 29.00 ft | on 08-19-1955 | |
| 109. | 16.24 ft | on 03-02-1954 | |
| 110. | 16.23 ft | on 11-20-1952 | |
| 111. | 17.80 ft | on 03-12-1952 | |
| 112. | 21.13 ft | on 06-10-1951 | |
| 113. | 21.55 ft | on 12-05-1950 | |
| 114. | 15.02 ft | on 09-14-1950 | |
| 115. | 21.70 ft | on 08-15-1949 | |
| 116. | 19.25 ft | on 03-23-1949 | |
| 117. | 18.27 ft | on 12-31-1948 | |
| 118. | 26.78 ft | on 12-04-1948 | |
| 119. | 22.90 ft | on 08-04-1948 | |
| 120. | 21.54 ft | on 04-01-1948 | |
| 121. | 15.38 ft | on 09-18-1945 | |
| 122. | 30.50 ft | on 09-19-1944 | |
| 123. | 36.50 ft | on 10-16-1942 | |
| 124. | 18.59 ft | on 08-09-1942 | |
| 125. | 14.87 ft | on 04-06-1941 | |
| 126. | 21.78 ft | on 08-17-1940 | |
| 127. | 13.75 ft | on 02-11-1939 | |
| 128. | 23.45 ft | on 10-20-1937 | |
| 129. | 33.35 ft | on 04-26-1937 | |
| 130. | 19.65 ft | on 01-21-1937 | |
| 131. | 18.19 ft | on 10-18-1936 | |
| 132. | 29.26 ft | on 03-18-1936 | |
| 133. | 19.53 ft | on 01-19-1936 | |
| 134. | 20.54 ft | on 01-03-1936 | |
| 135. | 26.27 ft | on 09-06-1935 | |
| 136. | 20.17 ft | on 01-23-1935 | |
| 137. | 20.60 ft | on 12-01-1934 | |
| 138. | 24.75 ft | on 09-17-1934 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 39.85 ft | on 08-20-1969 |
| 2. | 37.34 ft | on 06-22-1972 |
| 3. | 36.50 ft | on 10-16-1942 |
| 4. | 33.35 ft | on 04-26-1937 |
| 5. | 31.54 ft | on 09-07-1996 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 39.85 ft | on 08-20-1969 | |
| 2. | 37.34 ft | on 06-22-1972 | |
| 3. | 36.50 ft | on 10-16-1942 | |
| 4. | 33.35 ft | on 04-26-1937 | |
| 5. | 31.54 ft | on 09-07-1996 | |
| 6. | 31.07 ft | on 10-06-1972 | |
| 7. | 30.50 ft | on 09-19-1944 | |
| 8. | 29.26 ft | on 03-18-1936 | |
| 9. | 29.00 ft | on 08-19-1955 | |
| 10. | 26.78 ft | on 12-04-1948 | |
| 11. | 26.65 ft | on 09-09-1987 | |
| 12. | 26.53 ft | on 11-05-1985 | |
| 13. | 26.38 ft | on 03-20-1975 | |
| 14. | 26.33 ft | on 05-06-1989 | |
| 15. | 26.27 ft | on 09-06-1935 | |
| 16. | 26.25 ft | on 03-05-1993 | |
| 17. | 25.91 ft | on 09-19-2003 | |
| 18. | 25.59 ft | on 04-17-1987 | |
| 19. | 25.51 ft | on 05-31-2018 | |
| 20. | 25.50 ft | on 09-06-1979 | |
| 21. | 24.80 ft | on 01-20-1996 | |
| 22. | 24.75 ft | on 09-17-1934 | |
| 23. | 24.72 ft | on 05-16-2014 | |
| 24. | 24.45 ft | on 09-22-1979 | |
| 25. | 24.42 ft | on 02-15-1984 | |
| 26. | 24.27 ft | on 10-21-1961 | |
| 27. | 24.22 ft | on 09-18-2018 | |
| 28. | 23.96 ft | on 02-18-1998 | |
| 29. | 23.79 ft | on 02-23-2003 | |
| 30. | 23.77 ft | on 04-22-1992 | |
| 31. | 23.76 ft | on 03-29-1984 | |
| 32. | 23.67 ft | on 01-10-2024 | |
| 33. | 23.58 ft | on 02-26-1979 | |
| 34. | 23.52 ft | on 01-26-2010 | |
| 35. | 23.51 ft | on 01-26-1978 | |
| 36. | 23.46 ft | on 09-26-1975 | |
| 37. | 23.45 ft | on 10-20-1937 | |
| 38. | 23.39 ft | on 05-31-1971 | |
| 39. | 23.31 ft | on 09-30-1999 | |
| 40. | 23.29 ft | on 10-01-2024 | |
| 41. | 22.90 ft | on 08-04-1948 | |
| 42. | 22.88 ft | on 11-12-2020 | |
| 43. | 22.64 ft | on 06-03-1979 | |
| 44. | 22.48 ft | on 11-28-1993 | |
| 45. | 22.41 ft | on 10-10-1976 | |
| 46. | 22.06 ft | on 05-14-2025 | (P) |
| 47. | 22.02 ft | on 04-03-1983 | |
| 48. | 21.99 ft | on 01-29-1998 | |
| 49. | 21.94 ft | on 10-24-1990 | |
| 50. | 21.87 ft | on 04-24-1983 | |
| 51. | 21.78 ft | on 08-17-1940 | |
| 52. | 21.77 ft | on 02-08-1965 | |
| 53. | 21.70 ft | on 08-15-1949 | |
| 54. | 21.55 ft | on 12-05-1950 | |
| 55. | 21.54 ft | on 04-01-1948 | |
| 56. | 21.50 ft | on 05-01-2014 | |
| 57. | 21.32 ft | on 07-03-2003 | |
| 58. | 21.26 ft | on 05-08-1998 | |
| 59. | 21.13 ft | on 06-10-1951 | |
| 60. | 21.13 ft | on 11-24-1992 | |
| 61. | 21.07 ft | on 02-03-1973 | |
| 62. | 20.94 ft | on 12-25-2020 | |
| 63. | 20.93 ft | on 03-28-1994 | |
| 64. | 20.78 ft | on 01-14-2005 | |
| 65. | 20.68 ft | on 03-21-2003 | |
| 66. | 20.60 ft | on 12-01-1934 | |
| 67. | 20.54 ft | on 01-03-1936 | |
| 68. | 20.41 ft | on 10-01-1959 | |
| 69. | 20.32 ft | on 12-21-1973 | |
| 70. | 20.20 ft | on 04-23-1983 | |
| 71. | 20.17 ft | on 01-23-1935 | |
| 72. | 20.07 ft | on 01-09-1978 | |
| 73. | 19.97 ft | on 10-12-2018 | |
| 74. | 19.76 ft | on 09-26-2024 | |
| 75. | 19.72 ft | on 06-23-2018 | |
| 76. | 19.71 ft | on 04-17-2011 | |
| 77. | 19.65 ft | on 01-21-1937 | |
| 78. | 19.59 ft | on 12-11-2003 | |
| 79. | 19.57 ft | on 12-21-2018 | |
| 80. | 19.57 ft | on 08-19-1985 | |
| 81. | 19.53 ft | on 01-19-1936 | |
| 82. | 19.53 ft | on 06-14-1982 | |
| 83. | 19.53 ft | on 11-30-2005 | |
| 84. | 19.46 ft | on 12-08-2011 | |
| 85. | 19.37 ft | on 12-11-1992 | |
| 86. | 19.36 ft | on 06-28-1995 | |
| 87. | 19.33 ft | on 01-31-2013 | |
| 88. | 19.25 ft | on 03-23-1949 | |
| 89. | 19.20 ft | on 05-19-2018 | |
| 90. | 19.09 ft | on 10-07-2006 | |
| 91. | 18.99 ft | on 01-01-1976 | |
| 92. | 18.75 ft | on 03-21-1998 | |
| 93. | 18.73 ft | on 05-27-1990 | |
| 94. | 18.63 ft | on 03-12-1963 | |
| 95. | 18.63 ft | on 11-16-2018 | |
| 96. | 18.63 ft | on 04-05-1978 | |
| 97. | 18.59 ft | on 08-09-1942 | |
| 98. | 18.45 ft | on 02-05-1998 | |
| 99. | 18.41 ft | on 03-08-1967 | |
| 100. | 18.38 ft | on 09-29-2004 | |
| 101. | 18.31 ft | on 05-28-1982 | |
| 102. | 18.31 ft | on 02-24-1994 | |
| 103. | 18.27 ft | on 02-03-1982 | |
| 104. | 18.27 ft | on 02-19-1960 | |
| 105. | 18.27 ft | on 12-31-1948 | |
| 106. | 18.19 ft | on 10-18-1936 | |
| 107. | 17.97 ft | on 09-09-2004 | |
| 108. | 17.95 ft | on 01-27-1996 | |
| 109. | 17.93 ft | on 02-11-2018 | |
| 110. | 17.83 ft | on 05-06-2017 | |
| 111. | 17.83 ft | on 04-13-1961 | |
| 112. | 17.81 ft | on 03-29-1994 | |
| 113. | 17.80 ft | on 03-12-1952 | |
| 114. | 17.79 ft | on 03-11-2011 | |
| 115. | 17.78 ft | on 04-20-2015 | |
| 116. | 17.37 ft | on 04-14-2020 | |
| 117. | 17.20 ft | on 03-22-2019 | |
| 118. | 17.19 ft | on 04-09-1980 | |
| 119. | 17.11 ft | on 04-16-1993 | |
| 120. | 16.92 ft | on 11-30-1987 | |
| 121. | 16.54 ft | on 06-05-1992 | |
| 122. | 16.30 ft | on 12-16-2018 | |
| 123. | 16.24 ft | on 03-02-1954 | |
| 124. | 16.23 ft | on 11-20-1952 | |
| 125. | 16.23 ft | on 12-05-1993 | |
| 126. | 15.78 ft | on 06-03-1959 | |
| 127. | 15.38 ft | on 09-18-1945 | |
| 128. | 15.02 ft | on 09-14-1950 | |
| 129. | 14.92 ft | on 02-14-1966 | |
| 130. | 14.87 ft | on 04-06-1941 | |
| 131. | 14.80 ft | on 02-25-2016 | |
| 132. | 14.74 ft | on 07-24-1997 | |
| 133. | 14.15 ft | on 04-06-1957 | |
| 134. | 13.91 ft | on 03-31-1958 | |
| 135. | 13.84 ft | on 05-09-2008 | |
| 136. | 13.75 ft | on 02-11-1939 | |
| 137. | 13.58 ft | on 03-18-1993 | |
| 138. | 13.40 ft | on 01-14-1968 |
Vertical Datum Table
| type | NAVD88 |
|---|---|
| major Flooding | 241.69 ft |
| moderate Flooding | 234.69 ft |
| minor Flooding | 226.69 ft |
| action | 224.69 ft |
| Latest Value | 214.18 ft |
| Gauge Zero | 209.69 ft |
Gauge Photos
No Images Found
Unique Local Info
|
Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels |
||
| 10 Day (HEFS) | 10 Day (NAEFS) | 10 Day (GEFS) |
 |
 Â |
 Â |
Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.
See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 7,10 day graphics.Â
Click individual graphics to enlarge.
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
|
Additional Water and Weather Topics from the
Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center (MARFC): |
|||||||||||
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.