S Toe River below Whiteoak Ck, 2 SSE Celo
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Upstream gauge unavailableDownstream gauge unavailableWarning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.
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Observed (OBS) 06/13/2025 11:30 AM EDTRecord: 26.1 ftCATEGORY STAGE Major Flooding 19 ft Moderate Flooding 13 ft Minor Flooding 9 ft Action 7 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Forecasts are not available. Only observed stages are available for this point.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 26 - Record Flood Stage. Historic flooding is imminent across the S Toe River valley with floodwater levels similar to those during Tropical Cyclone Helene in 2024. Extensive, ruinous flooding is underway with numerous structures within the valley nearly submerged. The former Celo Inn is experiencing first-floor inundation approching 8'. Floodwaters exceeding 10' are impacting several roadways, including NC 80, Hannah Branch Rd, Seven Mile Ridge Rd, McDowell Ridge Rd, Halls Chapel Rd, and Blue Rock Rd.
- 19 - Major Flood Stage. Extremely rare and catastrophic flooding of the S Toe River is developing with disastrous impacts to property. Floodwaters are entering the first-floor of the former Celo Inn with imminent, ruinous flooding greater than 1' deep of several homes. Adjacent campgrounds and mobile home/RV parks may be experiencing devastating flooding greater than 4' deep, causing severe damage. Travel may be severely restricted with roadway inundation exceeding 3-4', stranding several residents.
- 13 - Moderate Flood Stage. Unusual, damaging flooding is developing adjacent to the S Toe River with considerable impacts to property and travel. Significant flooding reaching 4-6' deep is imminent for low-lying areas and crossings. Adjacent campgrounds may be experiencing dangerous inundation up to 2-4 ft deep, capable of moving RVs and other vehicles. Secondary roads, outbuildings, and crawl spaces/basements may be experiencing flooding reaching 2-4' deep. Some homes and businesses may be stranded.
Gauge Info
Coordinates | 35.8314, -82.1842 |
RFC | LMRFC |
State | NC |
WFO | GSP |
County | Yancey |
Data Provider(s) | |
US Geological Survey | USGS--Water Resources of the United States |
USGS | 03463300 |
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
1. | 26.06 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 6.29 ft | on 05-20-2020 |
3. | 8.97 ft | on 10-11-2018 |
4. | 10.85 ft | on 05-30-2018 |
5. | 4.83 ft | on 09-12-2017 |
6. | 5.40 ft | on 10-03-2015 |
7. | 9.91 ft | on 10-15-2014 |
8. | 7.78 ft | on 05-06-2013 |
9. | 4.89 ft | on 04-16-2011 |
10. | 5.10 ft | on 01-25-2010 |
Recent Crests
1. | 26.06 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 6.29 ft | on 05-20-2020 |
3. | 8.97 ft | on 10-11-2018 |
4. | 10.85 ft | on 05-30-2018 |
5. | 4.83 ft | on 09-12-2017 |
6. | 5.40 ft | on 10-03-2015 |
7. | 9.91 ft | on 10-15-2014 |
8. | 7.78 ft | on 05-06-2013 |
9. | 4.89 ft | on 04-16-2011 |
10. | 5.10 ft | on 01-25-2010 |
11. | 4.20 ft | on 12-11-2008 |
12. | 8.26 ft | on 08-26-2008 |
13. | 11.62 ft | on 09-17-2004 |
14. | 15.50 ft | on 09-08-2004 |
15. | 6.10 ft | on 11-26-1999 |
16. | 9.47 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
17. | 9.78 ft | on 01-14-1995 |
18. | 10.49 ft | on 08-17-1994 |
19. | 17.41 ft | on 11-06-1977 |
20. | 9.46 ft | on 09-23-1975 |
21. | 9.87 ft | on 06-20-1972 |
Historic Crests
1. | 26.06 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 17.41 ft | on 11-06-1977 |
3. | 15.50 ft | on 09-08-2004 |
4. | 11.62 ft | on 09-17-2004 |
5. | 10.85 ft | on 05-30-2018 |
6. | 10.49 ft | on 08-17-1994 |
7. | 9.91 ft | on 10-15-2014 |
8. | 9.87 ft | on 06-20-1972 |
9. | 9.78 ft | on 01-14-1995 |
10. | 9.47 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
Historic Crests
1. | 26.06 ft | on 09-27-2024 |
2. | 17.41 ft | on 11-06-1977 |
3. | 15.50 ft | on 09-08-2004 |
4. | 11.62 ft | on 09-17-2004 |
5. | 10.85 ft | on 05-30-2018 |
6. | 10.49 ft | on 08-17-1994 |
7. | 9.91 ft | on 10-15-2014 |
8. | 9.87 ft | on 06-20-1972 |
9. | 9.78 ft | on 01-14-1995 |
10. | 9.47 ft | on 01-08-1998 |
11. | 9.46 ft | on 09-23-1975 |
12. | 8.97 ft | on 10-11-2018 |
13. | 8.26 ft | on 08-26-2008 |
14. | 7.78 ft | on 05-06-2013 |
15. | 6.29 ft | on 05-20-2020 |
16. | 6.10 ft | on 11-26-1999 |
17. | 5.40 ft | on 10-03-2015 |
18. | 5.10 ft | on 01-25-2010 |
19. | 4.89 ft | on 04-16-2011 |
20. | 4.83 ft | on 09-12-2017 |
21. | 4.20 ft | on 12-11-2008 |
Vertical Datum Table
type | NAVD88 |
---|---|
major Flooding | 2675.52 ft |
moderate Flooding | 2669.52 ft |
minor Flooding | 2665.52 ft |
action | 2663.52 ft |
Latest Value | 2657.43 ft |
Gauge Zero | 2656.52 ft |
Gauge Photos
Probability Information
No Images Available
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.