Web Portal Changes: The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) hosted at https://water.weather.gov will be replaced by the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS), with a target of March 2024. Existing AHPS content and features will be preserved and expanded within NWPS.

Experimental National Water Center Products: Flood Inundation Mapping services are now available for 10% of the U.S. population. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations for more information. The National Hydrologic Discussion, Area Hydrologic Discussion, Flood Hazard Outlook, and real-time geospatial services depicting River Forecast Center and National Water Model forecasts, continue to be accessible via the URL above, as described in the StoryMap here.

Weather Forecast Office Medford, OR

Northwest River Forecast Center

Hydrograph

River at a Glance

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Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Not Available Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

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NOTE: Forecasts for the North Umpqua River near Winchester are issued routinely year-round.

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Upstream Gauge

Downstream Gauge

Flood Categories (in feet) Major Flood Stage: 31 Moderate Flood Stage: 30 Flood Stage: 26 Action Stage: 18 Low Stage (in feet): 0 Historic Crests (1) 34.20 ft on 12/22/1964 (2) 29.14 ft on 12/22/1955 (3) 28.40 ft on 11/23/1963 Show More Historic Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Recent Crests (1) 15.25 ft on 11/21/2012 (2) 16.92 ft on 01/19/2012 (3) 20.61 ft on 12/08/1996 Show More Recent Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Low Water Records Currently none available.

Zoom Level:16 Legend FEMA Layer Gauge Location Disclaimer Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

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32	Expect widespread flooding and severe damage to most property structures and roads from Glide downstream through Winchester to the confluence with the South Umpqua River.
31	Expect widespread flooding of homes businesses and farmland from Glide downstream through the Winchester area to the confluence with the Umpqua River.
30	Expect extensive flooding along the North Umpqua River upstream of Winchester to the confluence with the Umpqua River downstream. Homes in the vicinity of Winchester Dam will begin to flood. Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Glide 20 miles upstream from Winchester.
29	Homes and businesses begin to flood in the Garden Valley area. Expect widespread farmland and lowland flooding from Winchester to the confluence with the Upmqua River. Homes and businesses are threatened by floodwaters in the vicinity of Winchester Dam. Many county roads and parks also begin to flood upstream of Winchester to the confluence with the Umpqua River.
27	Expect minor flooding of agricultural land in the Garden Valley and Melrose areas.
26	The North Umpqua River is at flood stage. Expect minor lowland flooding mainly near the confluence with the South Umpqua River.

About This Location

Latitude: 43.272060° N, Longitude: 123.412299° W, Horizontal Datum: NAD83/WGS84 River Stage Reference Frame Gauge Height Flood Stage Uses NWS stage 0 ft 26 ft Interpreting hydrographs and NWS watch, warnings, and forecasts, and inundation maps Vertical Datum Elevation (gauge height = 0) Elevation (gauge height = flood stage) Elevation information source NAVD88 Not Available Not Available Survey grade GPS equipment, FEMA flood plain maps, newer USGS topographic maps NGVD 29 372.97 ft 398.97 ft Older USGS topographic maps, NGVD29 benchmarks MSL Not Available Not Available Older USGS topographic maps, MSL benchmarks Other Not Available Not Available   Current/Historical Observations: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Winchester

Resources

Hydrologic Resources Text Products Past Precipitation Forecast Precipitation River Forecast Centers River Stage Summary Northwest River Forecast Center California Nevada River Forecast Center Snow values Interactive Map Mean daily surface air temperature Cumulative thawing degree days Reservoir summary for Oregon (nrcs) Reservoir summary for California (nrcs) Inundation Mapping Locations

Additional Resources Area Hydrographs NWS Precipitation and River Forecasting AHPS Iframes for Developers Mobile iNWS for emergency management Snow Information FloodSmart.gov FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

Collaborative Agencies The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here. NWS Information National Weather Service Medford Weather Forecast Office 4003 Cirrus Drive Medford, OR 97504-4198 (541) 776-4303 Ask Questions/Webmaster Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:27 PM Disclaimer Credits Glossary Privacy Policy About Us Career Opportunities