National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service

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Web Portal Changes: The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) hosted at https://water.weather.gov will be replaced by the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS), with a target of March 2024. Existing AHPS content and features will be preserved and expanded within NWPS.

Experimental National Water Center Products: Flood Inundation Mapping services are now available for 10% of the U.S. population. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations for more information. The National Hydrologic Discussion, Area Hydrologic Discussion, Flood Hazard Outlook, and real-time geospatial services depicting River Forecast Center and National Water Model forecasts, continue to be accessible via the URL above, as described in the StoryMap here.

Weather Forecast Office Wilmington, OH

Ohio River Forecast Center

Flood Advisory

Hydrograph

River at a Glance

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About this graph

Tabular Data (UTC)

Tabular Data (EDT)

Datum: NAVD88

Metadata

NOTE: River Forecasts typically include ONLY 2 days of future rain from forecast issuance time (lower right of graph). Occasionally 3 days of future rain included.

NOTE: Forecasts for the Licking River at Falmouth are issued routinely year-round.

Vertical datum height estimated from NGVD29 to NAVD88 using the NGS VERTCON conversion program

Return to Area Map

Upstream Gauge

Downstream Gauge

Flood Categories (in feet)

Major Flood Stage:	41
Moderate Flood Stage:	37
Flood Stage:	33
Action Stage:	23
Low Stage (in feet):	-9999

Historic Crests
(1) 51.80 ft on 03/02/1997
(2) 47.10 ft on 03/10/1964
(3) 41.60 ft on 04/14/1948
(4) 41.40 ft on 01/23/1937
(5) 40.80 ft on 01/01/1922
(6) 39.00 ft on 02/17/1989
(7) 38.00 ft on 01/27/1927
(8) 37.00 ft on 02/19/2000
(9) 37.00 ft on 03/20/1943
(10) 35.60 ft on 03/06/1945
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 34.40 ft on 05/20/2020 (P)
(2) 23.80 ft on 11/07/2018
(3) 30.10 ft on 04/04/2015
(4) 32.90 ft on 05/03/2010
(5) 19.10 ft on 10/28/2006
(6) 20.70 ft on 09/25/2006
(7) 28.90 ft on 03/21/2002
(8) 37.00 ft on 02/19/2000
(9) 51.80 ft on 03/02/1997
(10) 29.00 ft on 05/16/1996
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 0.00 ft on 10/01/1987
(2) 0.10 ft on 11/01/1953
(3) 0.10 ft on 07/01/1930
(4) 0.30 ft on 10/01/1945
(5) 0.30 ft on 09/20/1955

For more information on your flood risk go to www.floodsmart.gov.

Show FEMA's National Flood Hazard Layers

Zoom Level:14

	Gauge Location	Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
52	This is the flood of record. About 80 percent of the area of Falmouth is under water, as high as 10 feet in some portions of the town. Much of Route 27 and State Route 22 are under several feet of water. Butler, Kentucky also incurs major flooding, with several other smaller low-lying towns along the river flooded as well. Flooding along the Licking River also affects much of Campbell and Kenton Counties near the river.
50	Much of Falmouth is covered by three to eight feet of water from the Licking River. Hardest hit areas are the low-lying roads closest to the river. Major inundation of over 70 percent of Falmouth occurs. Many homes along Shelby and Riggs Streets are completely submerged, with both Route 27 and Route 22 covered by high water.
48.5	This stage is approximately the FEMA 1 percent flood. Much of Falmouth is flooded. Shelby and Riggs Streets are the most heavily impacted with three to five feet of water into homes and businesses. The downtown area also incurs flooding, along with up to 80 percent of the homes in town.
47	Major flooding impacts most of Falmouth. Numerous streets are covered with two feet of water. Major property damage to homes and businesses occur in much of Falmouth and Butler.
45	Major flooding occurs in much of Falmouth and Butler. In Falmouth, many homes west of the railroad tracks have either yard flooding or flooding in structures. Homes and businesses are flooded near the river and many streets are covered by over two feet of water.
43	Numerous streets in Falmouth are covered with water, and many low-lying homes incur flooding. Several homes along Water Street and west of Park and Woodson Streets flood.
42	Numerous homes in the northern portions of Falmouth near the river become flooded on the first level, and portions of Butler also incur major flooding. Route 27 and portions of State Route 22 flood near the river restricting access to and from Falmouth.
41	Properties along Water Street flood, as well as along Wagners Ferry Road and backwater flooding occurs along Shelby and Licking Streets. Numerous streets in Falmouth are covered with water.
38	Main Street begins to flood near the river, and flooding along Shelby Street and State Route 22 east of Falmouth worsens. Flooding also begins along Riggs Street.
37	Shelby Street begins to flood, and flooding of low-lying streets near the river in Falmouth worsens. Flooding is worst along State Route 22 east of Falmouth.
36	Street flooding occurs in the Shoemakertown area east of Falmouth, and in low areas of Butler. Flooding begins along Montjoy and Second Streets in Falmouth.
34	Parts of State Route 22 east of the Falmouth business area begins to flood, as well as along Route 22 northeast of downtown in Shoemakertown, on the east side of the river.
33	Basement flooding begins along Water Street in Falmouth, and flooding beginning along a low area of Route 22 east out of Falmouth. Lowland flooding can be expected in both Butler and Falmouth.
31	Flooding occurs in low-lying areas of Butler, as well as some areas of Falmouth, mainly north of Shelby Street, and low areas northeast of Falmouth near Routes 22 and 159. Shelby Street and Branch Street east of Falmouth near Wagners Ferry Road is flooded, as well as backwater creek flooding of Max Goldberg park.
30	Low-lying flooding impacts some roads near Butler, and low areas northeast of Falmouth near Routes 22 and 159. Wagners Ferry Road is flooded, as well as backwater creek flooding of Max Goldberg park. State Route 177 is flooded in some locations.
28	Low-lying areas along the river near Falmouth begin to flood, including backwater flooding along Wagners Ferry Road east of Falmouth, as well as in Max Goldberg Park.

About This Location

Latitude: 38.678230° N, Longitude: 84.328040° W, Horizontal Datum: NAD83/WGS84

River Stage Reference Frame	Gauge Height	Flood Stage	Uses
NWS stage	0 ft	33 ft	Interpreting hydrographs and NWS watch, warnings, and forecasts, and inundation maps
Vertical Datum	Elevation (gauge height = 0)	Elevation (gauge height = flood stage)	Elevation information source
NAVD88	Not Available	Not Available	Survey grade GPS equipment, FEMA flood plain maps, newer USGS topographic maps
NGVD 29	511.16 ft	539.16 ft	Older USGS topographic maps, NGVD29 benchmarks
MSL	Not Available	Not Available	Older USGS topographic maps, MSL benchmarks
Other	Not Available	Not Available

Additional Information

Potential River Levels - Used to

Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS)	10 Day (NAEFS)	River Forecast VS. River Potential

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 10 Day graphics.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Resources

Hydrologic Resources

Additional Resources

Collaborative Agencies

The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

NWS Information

National Weather Service
Wilmington Weather Forecast Office
1901 South State Route 134
Wilmington, OH 45177
(937) 383-0031
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM

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