Arkansas River at Toad Suck Lock and Dam
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
Traces and Thresholds Click to turn on/off display
CATEGORY STAGE Major Flooding 280 ft Moderate Flooding 278 ft Minor Flooding 275 ft Action 273 ft Reliability of the Forecast: Based on current and forecast river, weather and reservoir conditions
NOTE: Forecasts are issued routinely year-round.
River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 285.4 - Highest stage since completion of the McClellan Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System in 1969. Surpassed the 1990 stage by 2.4 feet.
- 283 - Until 2019, the stage of 282.9 in May 1990 was highest since completion of the McClellan Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System in 1969. Levees in Toad Suck community overtopped. Toad Suck store affected. Perry County Levee District Number One was overtopped.
- 282 - State Highway 216 south of Perryville, State Highway 10 west of Perry, and State Highway 113 south of Bigalow are flooded from backwaters of the Fourche La Fave Fiver. State Highway 60 west of Toad Suck closed. County roads in Mayflower area are flooded. Flood crested at 282.57 in January 2016.
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
| 1. | 275.14 ft | on 04-07-2025 |
| 2. | 285.40 ft | on 06-04-2019 |
| 3. | 282.57 ft | on 01-01-2016 |
| 4. | 280.45 ft | on 06-03-2015 |
| 5. | 278.13 ft | on 05-13-2015 |
Recent Crests
| 1. | 275.14 ft | on 04-07-2025 |
| 2. | 285.40 ft | on 06-04-2019 |
| 3. | 282.57 ft | on 01-01-2016 |
| 4. | 280.45 ft | on 06-03-2015 |
| 5. | 278.13 ft | on 05-13-2015 |
| 6. | 278.90 ft | on 04-28-2011 |
| 7. | 276.40 ft | on 04-12-2008 |
| 8. | 278.80 ft | on 03-21-2008 |
| 9. | 275.03 ft | on 04-25-2004 |
| 10. | 272.91 ft | on 04-10-2002 |
| 11. | 272.38 ft | on 12-18-2001 |
| 12. | 277.08 ft | on 06-17-1995 |
| 13. | 270.82 ft | on 11-06-1994 |
| 14. | 276.00 ft | on 05-13-1993 |
| 15. | 274.90 ft | on 12-17-1992 |
| 16. | 269.48 ft | on 12-23-1991 |
| 17. | 282.90 ft | on 05-07-1990 |
| 18. | 279.50 ft | on 10-12-1986 |
| 19. | 280.20 ft | on 12-04-1982 |
| 20. | 278.50 ft | on 11-26-1974 |
| 21. | 279.70 ft | on 04-24-1973 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 285.40 ft | on 06-04-2019 |
| 2. | 282.90 ft | on 05-07-1990 |
| 3. | 282.57 ft | on 01-01-2016 |
| 4. | 280.45 ft | on 06-03-2015 |
| 5. | 280.20 ft | on 12-04-1982 |
Historic Crests
| 1. | 285.40 ft | on 06-04-2019 |
| 2. | 282.90 ft | on 05-07-1990 |
| 3. | 282.57 ft | on 01-01-2016 |
| 4. | 280.45 ft | on 06-03-2015 |
| 5. | 280.20 ft | on 12-04-1982 |
| 6. | 279.70 ft | on 04-24-1973 |
| 7. | 279.50 ft | on 10-12-1986 |
| 8. | 278.90 ft | on 04-28-2011 |
| 9. | 278.80 ft | on 03-21-2008 |
| 10. | 278.50 ft | on 11-26-1974 |
| 11. | 278.13 ft | on 05-13-2015 |
| 12. | 277.08 ft | on 06-17-1995 |
| 13. | 276.40 ft | on 04-12-2008 |
| 14. | 276.00 ft | on 05-13-1993 |
| 15. | 275.14 ft | on 04-07-2025 |
| 16. | 275.03 ft | on 04-25-2004 |
| 17. | 274.90 ft | on 12-17-1992 |
| 18. | 272.91 ft | on 04-10-2002 |
| 19. | 272.38 ft | on 12-18-2001 |
| 20. | 270.82 ft | on 11-06-1994 |
| 21. | 269.48 ft | on 12-23-1991 |
Unique Local Info
River flow forecast can be found at the following link: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/rtimages/abrfc/Hydrographs/fcst/images/TOAD_SUCK_FERRY_-_L_&_D_8_QT.gif
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.