Web Portal Changes: The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) hosted at https://water.weather.gov will be replaced by the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS), with a target of Spring 2024. Existing AHPS content and features will be preserved and expanded within NWPS. The NWS is now accepting feedback on NWPS. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations for more information.

Experimental National Water Center Products: Flood Inundation Mapping services are now available for 10% of the U.S. population. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations for more information. The National Hydrologic Discussion, Area Hydrologic Discussion, Flood Hazard Outlook, and real-time geospatial services depicting River Forecast Center and National Water Model forecasts, continue to be accessible via the URL above, as described in the StoryMap here.

DID YOU KNOW... Please try our new TEST hydrograph page link at: https://preview.water.noaa.gov/gauges/abcde - Just replace “abcde” with your local hydrograph five character ID found in the lower left corner of the hydrograph.  In late March of 2024, the base URL path will become water.noaa.gov.  Feedback can be provided HERE

Weather Forecast Office Raleigh, NC

Southeast River Forecast Center

Hydrograph

River at a Glance

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Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Not Available Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Not Available Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental) Not Available

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Printable Image About this graph Tabular Data (UTC) Tabular Data (EST) Datum: NAVD88 Metadata

Reliability of the Forecast: Based on current and forecast river, weather and reservoir conditions NOTE: Forecasts for the Black River near Tomahawk are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.

Default Hydrograph Scale to Flood Categories   Return to Area Map

Flood Categories (in feet) Major Flood Stage: 22 Moderate Flood Stage: 20 Flood Stage: 18 Action Stage: 16 Low Stage (in feet): -9999 Historic Crests (1) 31.34 ft on 09/18/2018 (2) 27.92 ft on 10/11/2016 (3) 27.14 ft on 09/18/1999 (4) 22.08 ft on 09/17/1984 (5) 21.31 ft on 09/10/1996 Show More Historic Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Recent Crests (1) 19.44 ft on 02/21/2021 (P) (2) 19.95 ft on 09/09/2019 (3) 31.34 ft on 09/18/2018 Show More Recent Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Low Water Records Currently none available.

Zoom Level:16 Legend FEMA Layer Gauge Location Disclaimer Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
22	Major flooding begins. The Clear Run community adjacent to the NC-411 bridge will begin flooding. NC-411 will be closed west of the bridge. Further downstream there will be significant flooding of properties along Black River Lane north of NC-41.
20	Moderate flooding begins. NC-411 west of the bridge over the Black River will be impassable. Riley Town Road and Wright Bridge Road just west of US-701 near Ingold may be impassable. Lundy Rd will also be impassable northeast of NC-411. Further downstream, water will reach properties along Black River Lane north of NC-41. Evacuations may be needed.
18	Minor flooding begins. Water begins to flood NC-411 about one quarter of a mile west of the bridge over the Black River. The Black River and Great Coharie Creek may be near the road levels on Wright Bridge Road and Riley Town Road near the intersection of US-701 outside of Ingold.
Photos (1) Gauge site

About This Location

Latitude: 34.754722° N, Longitude: 78.289167° W, Horizontal Datum: NAD83/WGS84 River Stage Reference Frame Gauge Height Flood Stage Uses NWS stage 0 ft 18 ft Interpreting hydrographs and NWS watch, warnings, and forecasts, and inundation maps Vertical Datum Elevation (gauge height = 0) Elevation (gauge height = flood stage) Elevation information source NAVD88 23.79 41.79 Survey grade GPS equipment, FEMA flood plain maps, newer USGS topographic maps NGVD 29 Not Available Not Available Older USGS topographic maps, NGVD29 benchmarks MSL Not Available Not Available Older USGS topographic maps, MSL benchmarks Other Not Available Not Available   Current/Historical Observations: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Tomahawk

Additional Information

Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels 10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS) Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 Hours.

Resources

Hydrologic Resources Text Products Past Precipitation Forecast Precipitation River Forecast Centers River Stage Summary Tar River Basin Multimedia - Includes Photos and Panoramics Tar River Inundation Mapping Cape Fear River Basin Mulitmedia Neuse River Basin Mulitmedia Roanoke River Basin Multimedia Pee Dee River Basin Multimedia Inundation Mapping Locations

Additional Resources Area Hydrographs NWS Precipitation and River Forecasting AHPS Iframes for Developers Mobile iNWS for emergency management Southeast River Forecast Center Snow Information Ensemble River Forecasts Hourly Precipitation

Collaborative Agencies The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here. NWS Information National Weather Service Raleigh Weather Forecast Office 1005 Capability Drive, Suite 300 Raleigh, NC 27606 (919) 326-1042 Ask Questions/Webmaster Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM Disclaimer Credits Glossary Privacy Policy About Us Career Opportunities