Web Portal Changes: The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) hosted at https://water.weather.gov will be replaced by the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS), with a target of Spring 2024. Existing AHPS content and features will be preserved and expanded within NWPS. The NWS is now accepting feedback on NWPS. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations for more information.

Experimental National Water Center Products: Flood Inundation Mapping services are now available for 10% of the U.S. population. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations for more information. The National Hydrologic Discussion, Area Hydrologic Discussion, Flood Hazard Outlook, and real-time geospatial services depicting River Forecast Center and National Water Model forecasts, continue to be accessible via the URL above, as described in the StoryMap here.

Weather Forecast Office Tulsa, OK

Arkansas Red-Basin River Forecast Center

Hydrograph

River at a Glance

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Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

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Printable Image About this graph Tabular Data (UTC) Tabular Data (CST) Datum: Not Available Metadata

NOTE: River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time. NOTE: Forecasts for the Black Bear Creek at Pawnee are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.

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Flood Categories (in feet) Major Flood Stage: 25 Moderate Flood Stage: 21 Flood Stage: 17 Action Stage: 17 Low Stage (in feet): -9999 Historic Crests (1) 31.43 ft on 10/03/1959 (2) 28.19 ft on 05/19/1943 (3) 28.11 ft on 09/30/1945 (4) 27.30 ft on 05/25/1908 (5) 27.30 ft on 10/05/1986 Show More Historic Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Recent Crests (1) 18.56 ft on 05/26/2019 (2) 17.08 ft on 05/25/2019 (3) 23.87 ft on 05/23/2019 (P) (4) 26.18 ft on 05/21/2019 (5) 13.79 ft on 05/08/2019 Show More Recent Crests (P): Preliminary values subject to further review. Low Water Records Currently none available. For more information on your flood risk go to www.floodsmart.gov. Show FEMA's National Flood Hazard Layers FEMA's National Flood Hazard Layers not showing? Why aren't the FEMA National Flood Hazard Layers showing on the ESRI Map? Possible reasons: There are no FEMA National Flood Hazard Layers for the location which you are viewing on ESRI Maps. The FEMA Web Mapping Service (WMS) is down. Note: Your zoom level may have changed. ESRI's zoom levels must be between 14 and 16 to show National Flood Hazard layers.

Zoom Level:14 Legend FEMA Layer Gauge Location Disclaimer Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

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29	damaging flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Extreme overflows flood some residences with depths of several feet. Around 10 city blocks are affected. The all-time record flood was 31.4 feet on October 3, 1959. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
27	very severe flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Overflows flood some residences and isolate many other homes. This is similar to the flood of October 5, 1986 when the stage crested at 27.3 feet. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
25	severe flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Overflows isolate or flood some residences. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
23	moderate agricultural flooding occurs. The access road to the Pawnee Indian Agency and Hospital are closed. The Pawnee County Fairgrounds are flooded.
21	moderate agricultural flooding occurs. The Pawnee County Fairgrounds are flooded. The access road to the Pawnee Indian Agency and Hospital becomes impassable.
19	minor agricultural flooding occurs. The Pawnee County Fairgrounds and some access roads begin to flood.
17	minor farm and ranchland flooding occurs.
Photos (1) upstream (2) downstream

About This Location

Latitude: 36.343611° N, Longitude: 96.799167° W, Horizontal Datum: NAD83/WGS84 River Stage Reference Frame Gauge Height Flood Stage Uses NWS stage 0 ft 17 ft Interpreting hydrographs and NWS watch, warnings, and forecasts, and inundation maps Vertical Datum Elevation (gauge height = 0) Elevation (gauge height = flood stage) Elevation information source NAVD88 803.29 ft 820.29 ft Survey grade GPS equipment, FEMA flood plain maps, newer USGS topographic maps NGVD 29 802.73 ft 819.73 ft Older USGS topographic maps, NGVD29 benchmarks MSL Not Available Not Available Older USGS topographic maps, MSL benchmarks Other Not Available Not Available   Current/Historical Observations: Corps of Engineers (COE) Info for Pawnee U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Pawnee

Resources

Hydrologic Resources Text Products Past Precipitation Forecast Precipitation River Forecast Centers River Stage Summary Inundation Mapping Locations Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas Hydrology

Additional Resources Area Hydrographs NWS Precipitation and River Forecasting AHPS Iframes for Developers Mobile iNWS for emergency management Snow Information

Collaborative Agencies The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here. NWS Information National Weather Service Tulsa Weather Forecast Office 10159 E. 11th St. Suite 300 Tulsa, OK 74128 (918) 838-7838 Ask Questions/Webmaster Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:29 PM Disclaimer Credits Glossary Privacy Policy About Us Career Opportunities