Black Bear Creek at Pawnee
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Upstream gauge unavailableDownstream gauge unavailableWarning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.
Traces and Thresholds Click to turn on/off display
CATEGORY STAGE Major Flooding 25 ft Moderate Flooding 21 ft Minor Flooding 17 ft Action 17 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Forecasts are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.
River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 29 - damaging flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Extreme overflows flood some residences with depths of several feet. Around 10 city blocks are affected. The all-time record flood was 31.4 feet on October 3, 1959. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
- 27 - very severe flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Overflows flood some residences and isolate many other homes. This is similar to the flood of October 5, 1986 when the stage crested at 27.3 feet. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
- 25 - severe flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Overflows isolate or flood some residences. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
1. | 18.56 ft | on 05-26-2019 | |
2. | 17.08 ft | on 05-25-2019 | |
3. | 23.87 ft | on 05-23-2019 | (P) |
4. | 26.18 ft | on 05-21-2019 | |
5. | 13.79 ft | on 05-08-2019 |
Recent Crests
1. | 18.56 ft | on 05-26-2019 | |
2. | 17.08 ft | on 05-25-2019 | |
3. | 23.87 ft | on 05-23-2019 | (P) |
4. | 26.18 ft | on 05-21-2019 | |
5. | 13.79 ft | on 05-08-2019 | |
6. | 16.17 ft | on 05-06-2019 | |
7. | 21.16 ft | on 10-04-2017 | |
8. | 17.92 ft | on 04-29-2017 | (P) |
9. | 19.53 ft | on 04-10-2008 | |
10. | 20.52 ft | on 03-31-2008 | |
11. | 20.29 ft | on 06-29-2007 | |
12. | 18.21 ft | on 03-06-2004 | |
13. | 17.89 ft | on 03-05-2004 | |
14. | 20.80 ft | on 04-25-1999 | |
15. | 19.70 ft | on 10-05-1998 | |
16. | 15.19 ft | on 07-18-1997 | |
17. | 17.09 ft | on 04-11-1994 | |
18. | 23.24 ft | on 05-10-1993 | |
19. | 17.00 ft | on 05-08-1993 | |
20. | 7.12 ft | on 05-21-1991 | |
21. | 11.74 ft | on 03-14-1990 | |
22. | 17.80 ft | on 03-12-1990 | |
23. | 17.82 ft | on 03-11-1990 | |
24. | 10.04 ft | on 03-30-1989 | |
25. | 14.78 ft | on 04-01-1988 | |
26. | 12.27 ft | on 03-05-1988 | |
27. | 17.21 ft | on 05-30-1987 | |
28. | 15.89 ft | on 03-02-1987 | |
29. | 11.78 ft | on 11-26-1986 | |
30. | 11.18 ft | on 11-07-1986 | |
31. | 27.30 ft | on 10-05-1986 | |
32. | 17.26 ft | on 09-30-1986 | |
33. | 12.63 ft | on 04-29-1985 | |
34. | 13.02 ft | on 03-04-1985 | |
35. | 15.49 ft | on 02-23-1985 | |
36. | 11.64 ft | on 12-16-1984 | |
37. | 12.44 ft | on 03-23-1984 | |
38. | 11.42 ft | on 10-21-1983 | |
39. | 13.86 ft | on 05-21-1983 | |
40. | 11.08 ft | on 05-24-1982 | |
41. | 14.39 ft | on 05-17-1982 | |
42. | 12.55 ft | on 05-12-1982 | |
43. | 7.43 ft | on 10-17-1980 | |
44. | 15.18 ft | on 06-19-1980 | |
45. | 11.95 ft | on 04-26-1980 | |
46. | 9.61 ft | on 03-23-1979 | |
47. | 7.68 ft | on 02-13-1978 | |
48. | 13.75 ft | on 05-23-1977 | |
49. | 7.43 ft | on 05-27-1976 | |
50. | 12.96 ft | on 06-15-1975 | |
51. | 17.91 ft | on 06-12-1975 | |
52. | 17.91 ft | on 06-02-1975 | |
53. | 14.71 ft | on 05-14-1975 | |
54. | 26.87 ft | on 11-04-1974 | |
55. | 22.35 ft | on 10-30-1974 | |
56. | 21.33 ft | on 09-20-1974 | |
57. | 15.64 ft | on 09-02-1974 | |
58. | 15.89 ft | on 08-09-1974 | |
59. | 24.43 ft | on 03-12-1974 | |
60. | 17.03 ft | on 04-15-1973 | |
61. | 18.03 ft | on 03-10-1973 | |
62. | 8.54 ft | on 12-16-1971 | |
63. | 10.18 ft | on 09-06-1971 | |
64. | 10.89 ft | on 04-30-1970 | |
65. | 12.70 ft | on 04-17-1969 | |
66. | 10.39 ft | on 04-03-1968 | |
67. | 7.81 ft | on 06-26-1967 | |
68. | 13.48 ft | on 07-25-1966 | |
69. | 9.73 ft | on 11-19-1964 | |
70. | 8.96 ft | on 08-28-1964 | |
71. | 12.84 ft | on 09-16-1963 | |
72. | 15.01 ft | on 06-09-1962 | |
73. | 15.70 ft | on 06-07-1962 | |
74. | 13.97 ft | on 11-04-1961 | |
75. | 21.68 ft | on 10-12-1961 | |
76. | 27.16 ft | on 09-14-1961 | |
77. | 13.91 ft | on 07-17-1961 | |
78. | 18.56 ft | on 06-14-1961 | |
79. | 18.53 ft | on 07-06-1960 | |
80. | 14.58 ft | on 05-29-1960 | |
81. | 31.43 ft | on 10-03-1959 | |
82. | 19.21 ft | on 09-27-1959 | |
83. | 14.63 ft | on 07-22-1959 | |
84. | 18.72 ft | on 07-16-1959 | |
85. | 13.97 ft | on 07-12-1958 | |
86. | 14.28 ft | on 07-03-1957 | |
87. | 22.56 ft | on 06-25-1957 | |
88. | 18.95 ft | on 06-12-1957 | |
89. | 18.48 ft | on 05-27-1957 | |
90. | 18.10 ft | on 05-22-1957 | |
91. | 25.26 ft | on 05-18-1957 | |
92. | 16.23 ft | on 04-23-1957 | |
93. | 20.73 ft | on 04-20-1957 | |
94. | 16.96 ft | on 10-05-1955 | |
95. | 21.78 ft | on 05-28-1955 | |
96. | 21.74 ft | on 05-22-1955 | |
97. | 16.37 ft | on 05-11-1955 | |
98. | 11.16 ft | on 05-02-1954 | |
99. | 10.56 ft | on 07-14-1953 | |
100. | 16.18 ft | on 06-07-1952 | |
101. | 14.76 ft | on 07-03-1951 | |
102. | 13.58 ft | on 08-03-1950 | |
103. | 16.16 ft | on 05-27-1949 | |
104. | 15.70 ft | on 05-21-1949 | |
105. | 15.37 ft | on 05-19-1949 | |
106. | 16.45 ft | on 08-08-1948 | |
107. | 17.31 ft | on 05-17-1947 | |
108. | 22.55 ft | on 04-16-1947 | |
109. | 15.43 ft | on 06-29-1946 | |
110. | 28.11 ft | on 09-30-1945 | |
111. | 15.76 ft | on 06-29-1945 | |
112. | 16.00 ft | on 06-22-1945 | |
113. | 20.62 ft | on 04-17-1945 | |
114. | 16.15 ft | on 04-13-1945 | |
115. | 16.21 ft | on 03-26-1945 | |
116. | 17.86 ft | on 12-07-1944 | |
117. | 28.19 ft | on 05-19-1943 | |
118. | 27.30 ft | on 05-25-1908 |
Historic Crests
1. | 31.43 ft | on 10-03-1959 |
2. | 28.19 ft | on 05-19-1943 |
3. | 28.11 ft | on 09-30-1945 |
4. | 27.30 ft | on 05-25-1908 |
5. | 27.30 ft | on 10-05-1986 |
Historic Crests
1. | 31.43 ft | on 10-03-1959 | |
2. | 28.19 ft | on 05-19-1943 | |
3. | 28.11 ft | on 09-30-1945 | |
4. | 27.30 ft | on 05-25-1908 | |
5. | 27.30 ft | on 10-05-1986 | |
6. | 27.16 ft | on 09-14-1961 | |
7. | 26.87 ft | on 11-04-1974 | |
8. | 26.18 ft | on 05-21-2019 | |
9. | 25.26 ft | on 05-18-1957 | |
10. | 24.43 ft | on 03-12-1974 | |
11. | 23.87 ft | on 05-23-2019 | (P) |
12. | 23.24 ft | on 05-10-1993 | |
13. | 22.56 ft | on 06-25-1957 | |
14. | 22.55 ft | on 04-16-1947 | |
15. | 22.35 ft | on 10-30-1974 | |
16. | 21.78 ft | on 05-28-1955 | |
17. | 21.74 ft | on 05-22-1955 | |
18. | 21.68 ft | on 10-12-1961 | |
19. | 21.33 ft | on 09-20-1974 | |
20. | 21.16 ft | on 10-04-2017 | |
21. | 20.80 ft | on 04-25-1999 | |
22. | 20.73 ft | on 04-20-1957 | |
23. | 20.62 ft | on 04-17-1945 | |
24. | 20.52 ft | on 03-31-2008 | |
25. | 20.29 ft | on 06-29-2007 | |
26. | 19.70 ft | on 10-05-1998 | |
27. | 19.53 ft | on 04-10-2008 | |
28. | 19.21 ft | on 09-27-1959 | |
29. | 18.95 ft | on 06-12-1957 | |
30. | 18.72 ft | on 07-16-1959 | |
31. | 18.56 ft | on 06-14-1961 | |
32. | 18.56 ft | on 05-26-2019 | |
33. | 18.53 ft | on 07-06-1960 | |
34. | 18.48 ft | on 05-27-1957 | |
35. | 18.21 ft | on 03-06-2004 | |
36. | 18.10 ft | on 05-22-1957 | |
37. | 18.03 ft | on 03-10-1973 | |
38. | 17.92 ft | on 04-29-2017 | (P) |
39. | 17.91 ft | on 06-12-1975 | |
40. | 17.91 ft | on 06-02-1975 | |
41. | 17.89 ft | on 03-05-2004 | |
42. | 17.86 ft | on 12-07-1944 | |
43. | 17.82 ft | on 03-11-1990 | |
44. | 17.80 ft | on 03-12-1990 | |
45. | 17.31 ft | on 05-17-1947 | |
46. | 17.26 ft | on 09-30-1986 | |
47. | 17.21 ft | on 05-30-1987 | |
48. | 17.09 ft | on 04-11-1994 | |
49. | 17.08 ft | on 05-25-2019 | |
50. | 17.03 ft | on 04-15-1973 | |
51. | 17.00 ft | on 05-08-1993 | |
52. | 16.96 ft | on 10-05-1955 | |
53. | 16.45 ft | on 08-08-1948 | |
54. | 16.37 ft | on 05-11-1955 | |
55. | 16.23 ft | on 04-23-1957 | |
56. | 16.21 ft | on 03-26-1945 | |
57. | 16.18 ft | on 06-07-1952 | |
58. | 16.17 ft | on 05-06-2019 | |
59. | 16.16 ft | on 05-27-1949 | |
60. | 16.15 ft | on 04-13-1945 | |
61. | 16.00 ft | on 06-22-1945 | |
62. | 15.89 ft | on 08-09-1974 | |
63. | 15.89 ft | on 03-02-1987 | |
64. | 15.76 ft | on 06-29-1945 | |
65. | 15.70 ft | on 06-07-1962 | |
66. | 15.70 ft | on 05-21-1949 | |
67. | 15.64 ft | on 09-02-1974 | |
68. | 15.49 ft | on 02-23-1985 | |
69. | 15.43 ft | on 06-29-1946 | |
70. | 15.37 ft | on 05-19-1949 | |
71. | 15.19 ft | on 07-18-1997 | |
72. | 15.18 ft | on 06-19-1980 | |
73. | 15.01 ft | on 06-09-1962 | |
74. | 14.78 ft | on 04-01-1988 | |
75. | 14.76 ft | on 07-03-1951 | |
76. | 14.71 ft | on 05-14-1975 | |
77. | 14.63 ft | on 07-22-1959 | |
78. | 14.58 ft | on 05-29-1960 | |
79. | 14.39 ft | on 05-17-1982 | |
80. | 14.28 ft | on 07-03-1957 | |
81. | 13.97 ft | on 11-04-1961 | |
82. | 13.97 ft | on 07-12-1958 | |
83. | 13.91 ft | on 07-17-1961 | |
84. | 13.86 ft | on 05-21-1983 | |
85. | 13.79 ft | on 05-08-2019 | |
86. | 13.75 ft | on 05-23-1977 | |
87. | 13.58 ft | on 08-03-1950 | |
88. | 13.48 ft | on 07-25-1966 | |
89. | 13.02 ft | on 03-04-1985 | |
90. | 12.96 ft | on 06-15-1975 | |
91. | 12.84 ft | on 09-16-1963 | |
92. | 12.70 ft | on 04-17-1969 | |
93. | 12.63 ft | on 04-29-1985 | |
94. | 12.55 ft | on 05-12-1982 | |
95. | 12.44 ft | on 03-23-1984 | |
96. | 12.27 ft | on 03-05-1988 | |
97. | 11.95 ft | on 04-26-1980 | |
98. | 11.78 ft | on 11-26-1986 | |
99. | 11.74 ft | on 03-14-1990 | |
100. | 11.64 ft | on 12-16-1984 | |
101. | 11.42 ft | on 10-21-1983 | |
102. | 11.18 ft | on 11-07-1986 | |
103. | 11.16 ft | on 05-02-1954 | |
104. | 11.08 ft | on 05-24-1982 | |
105. | 10.89 ft | on 04-30-1970 | |
106. | 10.56 ft | on 07-14-1953 | |
107. | 10.39 ft | on 04-03-1968 | |
108. | 10.18 ft | on 09-06-1971 | |
109. | 10.04 ft | on 03-30-1989 | |
110. | 9.73 ft | on 11-19-1964 | |
111. | 9.61 ft | on 03-23-1979 | |
112. | 8.96 ft | on 08-28-1964 | |
113. | 8.54 ft | on 12-16-1971 | |
114. | 7.81 ft | on 06-26-1967 | |
115. | 7.68 ft | on 02-13-1978 | |
116. | 7.43 ft | on 05-27-1976 | |
117. | 7.43 ft | on 10-17-1980 | |
118. | 7.12 ft | on 05-21-1991 |
Vertical Datum Table
type | NAVD88 |
---|---|
major Flooding | 828.29 ft |
moderate Flooding | 824.29 ft |
minor Flooding | 820.29 ft |
action | 820.29 ft |
Latest Value | 805.89 ft |
Gauge Zero | 803.29 ft |
Gauge Photos
Probability Information
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.