National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service

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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.

	Hydrograph			River at a Glance			Download			Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

About this graph

Forecasts for the Rivanna River at Palmyra are issued routinely year-round.

Return to Area Map

Downstream Gauge

Zoom Level:14

Flood Categories (in feet)

Major Flood Stage:	32
Moderate Flood Stage:	25
Flood Stage:	17
Action Stage:	15
Low Stage (in feet):	-9999

Historic Crests
(1) 39.85 ft on 08/20/1969
(2) 37.34 ft on 06/22/1972
(3) 36.50 ft on 10/16/1942
(4) 33.35 ft on 04/26/1937
(5) 31.54 ft on 09/07/1996
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 20.94 ft on 12/25/2020
(2) 22.88 ft on 11/12/2020
(3) 17.37 ft on 04/14/2020
(4) 17.20 ft on 03/22/2019
(5) 19.57 ft on 12/21/2018
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 1.00 ft on 10/16/2007
(2) 1.08 ft on 08/10/1999
(3) 1.53 ft on 10/09/1941
(4) 1.60 ft on 09/24/1941
(5) 1.84 ft on 09/28/1939
Show More Low Water Records

	Gauge Location	Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
44.5	River stage sensor operating limit
24.8	Farmland and roads downstream flooded.
18	River out of banks in Palmyra. Some streets closed in town as well as secondary roads leading into town.
17	Bankfull and flood stage. Overflow begins on right bank, affecting secondary roads.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information

Potential River Levels - Used to

Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS)	10 Day (NAEFS)	10 Day (GEFS)

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 7,10 day graphics.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Gage Photos

Hydromet Outlook

24 Hour Hydrometerological

Outlook Link to Graphic

Hydro Forecast Discussion

Significant Flood Outlook

Significant River Flood Outlook Link to Graphic

Flash Flood Guidance

Additional Water and Weather Topics from the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center (MARFC):
MARFC Home Page, Current Hazards, Current Conditions James River, Current Conditions Appomattox River,
Water Resources, Observed precipitation, Radar, Tropical Weather, Climate,
Flood History, About the MARFC, Contact Us

Collaborative Agencies

The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

NWS Information

National Weather Service
Wakefield Weather Forecast Office
10009 General Mahone Hwy
Wakefield, VA 23888
(757) 899-4200
Ask Questions/Webmaster
Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM

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