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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the Otselic River at Cincinnatus are issued routinely year-round.
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Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 11.5
Moderate Flood Stage: 10.5
Flood Stage: 9
Action Stage: 8
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 12.50 ft on 07/08/1935
(2) 10.89 ft on 01/19/1996
(3) 10.68 ft on 04/04/1950
(4) 10.67 ft on 12/30/1942
(5) 10.55 ft on 04/03/2005
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 9.89 ft on 12/25/2020
(2) 9.19 ft on 11/01/2019
(3) 9.63 ft on 09/08/2011
(4) 9.59 ft on 06/28/2006
(5) 10.55 ft on 04/03/2005
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
Currently none available.
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
12.5 Estimated level of the July 1935 flood which occurred before installation of the river gage. Widespread destruction occurred downstream from Willet to Upper Lisle.
11.9 Portions of the Cincinnatus Central School will flood. FEMA flood insurance risk maps indicate that this level, as measured at the stream gage, marks the 1% (100 year) floodplain. Your property is at risk of flooding during a major flood event. A 100 year flood is a flood that has a 1 percent chance of occurring in any year.
11.5 Widespread flooding of homes and properties occurs along Cincinnatus Road, Telephone Road and Lower Cincinnatus Road on the east side of the river. The Cincinnatus fire department floods. Flooding also occurrs along Route 26 in the vicinity of Lower Cincinnatus.
10.5 Flood waters affect first floor properties along Cincinnatus Road. Deer Path Lane is cut off by flooding.
9.5 Widespread basement and yard flooding occurs in Cincinnatus, especially along Deer Path Lane and Lower Cincinnatus Road.
9 Agricultural lands between Cincinnatus and Willet flood.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble GEFS Ensemble

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
Binghamton Weather Forecast Office
32 Dawes Drive
Johnson City, NY 13790
(607) 729-1597
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
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