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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Northeast River Forecast Center.
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Mapping
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Experimental Short Range Forecast Uncertainty (AHPS) - External Links: Product Description Document | Customer Survey
About this graph
Forecasts for the Winooski River at Montpelier are issued routinely year-round.
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Downstream Gauge Downstream Gauge - at Waterbury
Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 17.5
Moderate Flood Stage: 16
Flood Stage: 15
Action Stage: 11
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 27.10 ft on 11/03/1927
(2) 21.35 ft on 07/11/2023 (P)
(3) 19.05 ft on 08/29/2011
(4) 17.59 ft on 05/27/2011
(5) 17.55 ft on 06/30/1973
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 16.15 ft on 12/18/2023 (P)
(2) 21.35 ft on 07/11/2023 (P)
(3) 19.05 ft on 08/29/2011
(4) 17.59 ft on 05/27/2011
(5) 8.66 ft on 03/30/2003
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 2.67 ft on 09/22/2020
(2) 2.86 ft on 09/07/2010
(3) 2.88 ft on 09/03/2012
(4) 2.88 ft on 07/22/2018
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
27 The Montpelier business district will be covered by water 8 to 10 feet deep. Widespread flooding of the Winooski valley will occur.
22 Downtown Montpelier will be inundated, and local roads will be covered by water. Route 2 and railroad tracks along the river will be covered with water. There will be widespread field flooding throughout the Winooski River valley. This stage is equivalent to the FEMA 1 Percent Annual Chance Flood.
17.5 Water covers the streets in downtown Montpelier. Local roads along the Winooski from Montpelier to Waterbury will be covered in water, and there will be widespread field flooding.
16 Route 2 will flood at Bailey Avenue bridge, and the entrance to the Montpelier High School. Parking lots behind state office buildings next to the river will flood between Taylor Street and Bailey Avenue, and the approach to Taylor Street bridge will be inundated. Low lying fields and farmland will be inundated.
15 Flooding will begin on State Street at the Bailey Avenue bridge. Flooding may occur along Route 302 between Montpelier and Barre. Downstream from Montpelier to Waterbury, low lying local roads and farmland will flood. Water will approach the State of Vermont office complex in Waterbury.
Photos
(1) Winooski River at Montpelier VT River Gage House
(2) View upstream from MONV1
(3) View downstream from MONV1

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble GEFS Ensemble

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
Burlington Weather Forecast Office
1200 Airport Drive
South Burlington, VT 05403
(802) 862-2475
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
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