National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service

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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Northeast River Forecast Center.

	Hydrograph			River at a Glance			Download			Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

About this graph

Forecasts for the Tonawanda Creek at Batavia are issued routinely year-round.

Return to Area Map

Downstream Gauge

Zoom Level:16

Flood Categories (in feet)

Major Flood Stage:	12
Moderate Flood Stage:	10
Flood Stage:	9
Action Stage:	7
Low Stage (in feet):	-9999

Historic Crests
(1) 13.85 ft on 04/06/1947
(2) 13.73 ft on 03/29/1950
(3) 13.44 ft on 03/02/1955
(4) 12.70 ft on 03/31/1960
(5) 12.45 ft on 02/25/1985
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 10.07 ft on 02/24/2022
(2) 10.29 ft on 02/19/2022
(3) 10.05 ft on 01/13/2018
(4) 9.88 ft on 07/14/2017
(5) 9.02 ft on 11/25/2014
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 0.89 ft on 09/09/2008
(2) 1.20 ft on 07/19/1983
(3) 1.30 ft on 08/03/1999
(4) 1.30 ft on 09/03/1995
(5) 1.50 ft on 07/15/1998

	Gauge Location	Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
12	Major flood, considerable residential and commercial flooding from the west side of Batavia through East Pembroke. Widespread flooding in low lying areas and feeder streams along the entire reach of Tonawanda Creek, including the Tonawanda Indian Reservation and extending into the Iroquois National Wildlife Refuge.
10	Moderate flood, flooding along West Main Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some residential and commerical flooding possible.
9	Flood stage, some flooding in Batavia, possibly impacting Kibbe Park, Walnut Street, and Law Street. Flooding in rural areas of Alexander and the lowlands of the Alabama Swamps with some road closures likely.
7	Action stage, high flows. Minor impact on some rural roads north of Alexander.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Batavia

Additional Information

Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS)	7 Day (NAEFS)	7 Day (GEFS)

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 48 hours.

See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 3,7 day graphics.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Observations courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey.

Collaborative Agencies

The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

NWS Information

National Weather Service
Buffalo Weather Forecast Office
587 Aero Drive
Buffalo, NY 14225-1405
(716) 565-0204
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM

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