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Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service
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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the Conodoguinet Creek near Hogestown are issued routinely year-round.
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Zoom Level:16
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 12
Moderate Flood Stage: 10
Flood Stage: 8
Action Stage: 6
Low Stage (in feet): 0

Historic Crests
(1) 17.01 ft on 06/23/1972
(2) 12.56 ft on 09/26/1975
(3) 12.50 ft on 02/15/1984
(4) 12.16 ft on 03/12/1952
(5) 11.35 ft on 09/19/2004
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 8.73 ft on 01/11/2024 (P)
(2) 8.91 ft on 05/08/2022
(3) 8.51 ft on 09/03/2021
(4) 11.04 ft on 12/26/2020
(5) 8.70 ft on 05/01/2020
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 0.65 ft on 12/16/1930
(2) 0.74 ft on 02/13/1969
(3) 0.90 ft on 10/09/1970
(4) 0.92 ft on 10/16/1981
(5) 0.95 ft on 09/18/1985
Show More Low Water Records
KML Image
Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
18.5 Approximate level of the FEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood level (500-year flood). Flood waters are expected to reach the bottom of the Sample Bridge Road Bridge near the river gage.
16 Most homes near the creek are affected by flooding. Most secondary roads across the creek will be closed due to high water.
15.6 Maximum recordable gage height (stage sensor operational limit). Water levels above this stage are not reported in real time.
15.5 Approximate level of the FEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood level (100-year flood).
14.5 Approximate level of the FEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood level (50-year flood).
14 Homes along the entire length of the creek are affected by high water.
12.2 Approximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood level (10-year flood).
12 Numerous homes are affected by high water all along the creek. The approaches to the bridges on Erb's Bridge Road, Sample Bridge Road, and Oyster Mill Road are inundated.
10 Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.
8 Low lying areas in the vicinity of Erbs Bridge Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.
Photos
(1) looking upstream
(2) view of the gagehouse
(3) looking downstream

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble GEFS Ensemble

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
State College Weather Forecast Office
328 Innovation Boulevard, Suite 330
State College, PA 16803
(814) 954-6400
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
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