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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Southeast River Forecast Center.

	Hydrograph			River at a Glance			Download			Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

About this graph

Forecasts for the Black Creek (SC) near Quinby are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.

Return to Area Map

Downstream Gauge

Zoom Level:16

Flood Categories (in feet)

Major Flood Stage:	18
Moderate Flood Stage:	15
Flood Stage:	10
Action Stage:	7
Low Stage (in feet):	-9999

Historic Crests
(1) 17.36 ft on 09/18/2018
(2) 16.81 ft on 10/05/2015
(3) 16.80 ft on 09/10/2004
(4) 16.46 ft on 10/08/2016
(5) 16.26 ft on 10/09/2016
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 15.95 ft on 02/20/2021
(2) 13.10 ft on 02/15/2021
(3) 10.14 ft on 01/15/2021
(4) 13.28 ft on 01/05/2021
(5) 12.98 ft on 11/14/2020
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 0.69 ft on 08/13/2002
(2) 1.25 ft on 07/09/2012
(3) 1.26 ft on 06/29/2008
(4) 1.38 ft on 08/23/2007
(5) 1.43 ft on 09/15/2009
Show More Low Water Records

	Gauge Location	Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
18	Water several feet deep in numerous homes on Creekside Drive, East Black Creek Road, and Crooked Creek Drive.
16	Floodwaters deepen on Creekside Drive, East Black Creek Road, and Crooked Creek Drive. Flood waters spread onto Cyprus Bend Road into the Country Club of South Carolina.
15	Floodwaters enter numerous homes on Creekside Drive, East Black Creek Road and Crooked Creek Drive.
14	Floodwaters surround the majority of homes on East Black Creek Road, Creekside Drive and Crooked Creek Drive and all residents are isolated due to the floodwaters. Water is lapping at the foundations of all ground level homes in these areas.
13.5	Floodwaters begin to affect one mobile home on Creekside Drive and continue to rise in yards.
13	Floodwaters spill over into all yards of residences on Creekside Drive, Crooked Creek Drive and East Black Creek Road. The creek spills over its banks off Highway 327 in the Country Club of South Carolina. Floodwaters affect some yards of residences in the Country Club of South Carolina.
12.5	Floodwaters continue to rise on Creekside Drive and East Black Creek Road with water nearing a few homes. Homes along East Black Creek Road become isolated and residents must use boats to exit the neighborhood.
11.5	Floodwaters spill over into yards of all residences on Creekside Drive.
11	Floodwaters affect Creekside Drive in Quinby. Water begins to get into residents' yards on Creekside Drive and East Black Creek Road.
10.5	Floodwaters begin to affect portions of East Black Creek Road.
10	Flood stage. Creek coming out of its banks.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Quinby

Additional Information

Potential River Levels - Used to

Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS)	10 Day (NAEFS)	10 Day (GEFS)

Note: The official hydrograph at the top of this web page was made by a river forecaster using past rainfall and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. The Potential River Level graphics are computer generated and most useful for rain expected beyond 48 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies

The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

NWS Information

National Weather Service
Wilmington Weather Forecast Office
2015 Gardner Drive
Wilmington, NC 28405
(910) 762-4289
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM

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