Skip Navigation Link  
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service
Image background of Navigation bar Left
Navigation Bar End Cap


This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Southeast River Forecast Center.
tab left off Hydrograph tab right off tab left off River at a Glance tab right off tab left off Download tab right off tab left on tab right on
About this graph
Forecasts for the Cape Fear River at Lock 1 are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.
Return to Area Map

Upstream Gauge - at Elizabethtown Upstream Gauge
Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 28
Moderate Flood Stage: 26
Flood Stage: 24
Action Stage: 22
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 30.68 ft on 09/21/2018
(2) 29.80 ft on 09/23/1945
(3) 28.58 ft on 10/13/2016
(4) 26.00 ft on 10/09/1964
(5) 24.92 ft on 03/03/1979
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 23.27 ft on 02/12/2020
(2) 19.63 ft on 04/26/2019
(3) 20.18 ft on 04/12/2019
(4) 19.69 ft on 03/24/2019
(5) 20.37 ft on 03/07/2019
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 13.97 ft on 08/10/2002
(2) 14.28 ft on 10/18/2007
(3) 14.45 ft on 09/12/2007
(4) 14.46 ft on 11/11/2006
(5) 14.52 ft on 08/16/2007
Show More Low Water Records
KML Image
Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
50 Water levels will reach the the height of the bluff on which the lockmasters residence is located.
28 Flood waters will near the flood of record. At 30 feet, this is above the flood of record and flood waters reach the instrument shelter.
26 Moderate flooding of swamps and low lands. Flooding similar to that reached with the remnants of Hurricane Hilda in 1964.
24 Lowland flooding will occur along the riverbed.
(1) USGS Gage at Cape Fear Lock 1

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble GEFS Ensemble

Note: The official hydrograph at the top of this web page was made by a river forecaster using past rainfall and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. The Potential River Level graphics are computer generated and most useful for rain expected beyond 48 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
Wilmington Weather Forecast Office
2015 Gardner Drive
Wilmington, NC 28405
(910) 762-4289
Ask Questions/Webmaster
Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
Privacy Policy
About Us
Career Opportunities