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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the Mississippi River at Natchez are issued routinely year-round.
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Upstream Gauge - at Vicksburg Upstream Gauge
Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 57
Moderate Flood Stage: 51
Flood Stage: 48
Action Stage: 38
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 61.95 ft on 05/19/2011
(2) 58.04 ft on 02/21/1937
(3) 57.91 ft on 03/12/2019
(4) 57.55 ft on 04/15/2020
(5) 57.12 ft on 03/18/2018
(6) 57.03 ft on 04/23/2008
(7) 56.75 ft on 01/17/2016
(8) 56.70 ft on 05/13/1973
(9) 56.60 ft on 05/04/1927
(10) 56.30 ft on 03/26/1997
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 49.77 ft on 03/19/2022
(2) 52.78 ft on 04/15/2021
(3) 57.55 ft on 04/15/2020
(4) 57.91 ft on 03/12/2019
(5) 57.12 ft on 03/18/2018
(6) 54.91 ft on 05/26/2017
(7) 44.81 ft on 10/17/2016
(8) 51.23 ft on 03/20/2016
(9) 56.75 ft on 01/17/2016
(10) 52.71 ft on 07/27/2015
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) -1.70 ft on 02/03/1940
(2) -1.00 ft on 09/02/1936
(3) -0.90 ft on 11/27/1953
Show More Low Water Records
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
60.5 Access to Locus Hill Road and Millbrook Road from Mississippi Highway 24 is closed in Wilkinson County.
60 Pickneyville Road at Pond, MS near Highway 24 is closed. Also, around 60 permanent homes and 70 camps are evacuated.
56 Bourke Road which is south of Natchez is underwater. Residents will have to boat into their homes.
55.5 Residents at the end of Percy Creek Sand Road are denied access to their homes due to high water.
55 Pond Road in Fort Adams is flooded. Eight to eleven homes are under water in the township.
53 Some camps and houses are flooded around Fort Adams.
51 Water is covering the roads in old downtown area of Fort Adams.
48 Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
47 Water begins to enter the Carthage Point Road area south of Natchez.
45 Water under some buildings around Fort Adams, Mississippi.
44 Some camps and most access roads are flooded along Lake Mary.
43 Water covers Thornburg Lake Road in the area known as Anna's Bottom which is north of Natchez. Also, Lake Mary Road is under water.
38 Lowlands along the river in areas not protected by levees begin to flood. On both side of the river, there are areas that contain oil and gas wells; however, these are not affected until higher stages.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
Jackson Weather Forecast Office
234 Weather Service Dr.
Jackson, MS 39232
(601) 936-2189
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:29 PM
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