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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the North Central River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the Kaskaskia River below Carlyle Dam Tailwater are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.
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Upstream Gauge - at Vandalia Upstream Gauge
Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 435
Moderate Flood Stage: 431
Flood Stage: 423.5
Action Stage: 421.5
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 428.20 ft on 05/10/1970
(2) 428.20 ft on 12/15/1966
(3) 427.70 ft on 02/20/1969
(4) 427.21 ft on 06/07/2002
(5) 427.00 ft on 04/15/1979
(6) 426.40 ft on 01/28/1993
(7) 426.31 ft on 04/10/1998
(8) 426.29 ft on 01/04/2010
(9) 426.27 ft on 02/07/2019
(10) 426.26 ft on 01/18/2005
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 425.99 ft on 03/26/2021
(2) 424.02 ft on 04/06/2020 (P)
(3) 425.96 ft on 02/17/2020
(4) 426.17 ft on 01/18/2020
(5) 426.27 ft on 02/07/2019
(6) 426.04 ft on 04/14/2018
(7) 426.03 ft on 05/10/2017
(8) 426.01 ft on 01/07/2016
(9) 424.45 ft on 03/28/2015
(10) 424.89 ft on 04/07/2014
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 408.00 ft on 09/17/1954
(2) 408.22 ft on 09/25/1998
(3) 408.28 ft on 09/21/1999
Show More Low Water Records
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
436.69 This is the RECORD FLOOD LEVEL that was reached on May 21 1943.
436 Heimann levee is overtopped.
435 Major flooding begins. Santa Fe, Hanover, and Germantown levees begin overtopping.
430 Moderate flooding begins. Residential flooding in Bartelso and backwater begins to flood Germantown sanitary sewage facilities.
424.5 Some cabins just below the dam are inundated.
423.5 FLOOD STAGE. Rural damage begins. Township roads in Covington become inundated.
421 Left bank in vicinity of the gage overflows with minor flooding of park lands.
(1) Park along the right bank on January 20, 2004 at a stage of 425.5 ft.
(2) January 2004 flooding from Highway 50 bridge looking downstream
(3) January 2004 flooding from Highway 50 at riverside park looking west toward city
(4) Carlyle Lake pool at the dam during normal pool.
(5) Looking upstream at the gaging shelter and Lake Carlyle dam.
(6) Looking downstream from the Lake Carlyle tailwater gage.
(7) Lake Carlyle tailwater stilling well and gaging shelter.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
How low could the river get?
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The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
St. Louis Weather Forecast Office
12 Missouri Research Park Drive
St. Charles, MO 63304
(636) 441-8467
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:29 PM
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