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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the North Fork Shenandoah River at Cootes Store are issued routinely year-round.
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Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 21
Moderate Flood Stage: 18
Flood Stage: 15
Action Stage: 10
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 27.86 ft on 09/06/1996
(2) 25.30 ft on 10/15/1942
(3) 25.13 ft on 11/04/1985
(4) 23.25 ft on 03/17/1936
(5) 19.71 ft on 01/19/1996
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 15.42 ft on 06/22/2018
(2) 17.35 ft on 05/22/2018
(3) 16.33 ft on 04/16/2011
(4) 12.59 ft on 01/25/2010
(5) 14.09 ft on 11/16/2006
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 1.70 ft on 09/07/1966
(2) 1.70 ft on 08/07/1999
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
28 Water completely covers the first floor of several buildings near Cootes Store.
21 Homes and businesses near Cootes Store begin to flood.
19 Large portions of Brocks Gap Road, and parts of Turleytown Road, begin to flood.
18 Water reaches buildings near Cootes Store.
15 Water reaches fields near Brocks Gap Road and a campground. Low spots on Brocks Gap Road begin to flood.
10 Low-lying areas near the river begin to flood.
8 The river reaches bankfull level and begins to spill over into nearby portions of the floodplain.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble  GEFS Ensemble 

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
(Baltimore/Washington) Sterling Weather Forecast Office
43858 Weather Service Rd.
Sterling, VA 20166
(703) 996-2200
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
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