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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the Wills Creek near Cumberland are issued routinely year-round.
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Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 14
Moderate Flood Stage: 12
Flood Stage: 10
Action Stage: 9
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 23.11 ft on 01/19/1996
(2) 20.20 ft on 03/17/1936
(3) 15.14 ft on 10/15/1942
(4) 14.94 ft on 08/13/1984
(5) 14.11 ft on 09/02/2021 (P)
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 14.11 ft on 09/02/2021 (P)
(2) 11.57 ft on 09/09/2018
(3) 10.27 ft on 10/30/2012
(4) 8.66 ft on 05/18/2011
(5) 7.77 ft on 04/17/2011
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 0.50 ft on 10/14/1938
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
23 The levee system on Wills Creek protects the city of Cumberland from flooding to approximately this level.
22 Significant portions of Maryland Route 36 at Motor City and National Highway in The Narrows are flooded, along with many homes and businesses in Motor City and Locust Grove.
18 Portions of the Western Maryland Railroad in The Narrows are underwater. Numerous homes and businesses in Motor City and Locust Grove are flooded.
14 Several businesses at Motor City and outside the levee protection north of Cumberland are flooded, along with at least a couple homes in Locust Grove. Water approaches low spots on Route 36, possibly affecting one lane.
12 Water reaches businesses in Motor City along route 36, and begins to approach homes in Locust Grove. Water may be approaching the lowest sections of the railroad tracks on the left bank. The tracks on the right bank will not be affected.
11 Water approaches businesses at Motor City. Vehicles must be moved to higher ground.
10 Water reaches a private bridge near Corriganville, and a car wash at Motor City. Water also reaches the parking lots of businesses along route 36 at Motor City. Vehicles may need to be moved to higher ground.
9 The creek floods over its banks but no property is affected.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble  GEFS Ensemble 

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
(Baltimore/Washington) Sterling Weather Forecast Office
43858 Weather Service Rd.
Sterling, VA 20166
(703) 996-2200
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
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