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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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Experimental Short Range Forecast Uncertainty (AHPS) - External Links: Product Description Document | Customer Survey
About this graph
Forecasts for the Conococheague Creek at Fairview are issued routinely year-round.
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Zoom Level:12
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 15
Moderate Flood Stage: 12
Flood Stage: 10
Action Stage: 8
Low Stage (in feet): -9999

Historic Crests
(1) 24.50 ft on 06/23/1972
(2) 17.97 ft on 02/15/1984
(3) 16.50 ft on 06/01/1889
(4) 16.00 ft on 03/29/1924
(5) 16.00 ft on 10/09/1976
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 11.08 ft on 09/28/2018
(2) 10.58 ft on 09/13/2018
(3) 12.49 ft on 09/10/2018
(4) 11.61 ft on 09/10/2018
(5) 10.37 ft on 08/03/2018
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
Currently none available.
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
21 Water reaches the bridge on Fairview Road.
15 Water floods several homes north of Williamsport.
13 Water reaches backyards of homes near Wilson's Bridge. Numerous roads are flooded.
12 Water approaches homes north of Williamsport. Some homes and a campground will also be cut off from access due to flooded roads, but the homes themselves are not flooded.
11 Several roads, including Wishard Road, Kemps Mill Road, Independence Road, Cress Pond Road, and Walnut Point Road, are flooded north of Williamsport.
10 Wishard Road and Kemp Mill Road are both flooded.
9 Water begins to cover Wishard Road and Kemp Mill Road.
8 Lowlands near the creek begin to flood. Water approaches Wishard Road and Kemps Mill Road in northern Washington County.

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
3 Day (SREF) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
SREF Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble  GEFS Ensemble 

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 48 hours.

See the Product Description Document link for more details on the interpretation of the 3,7 day graphics. 

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
(Baltimore/Washington) Sterling Weather Forecast Office
43858 Weather Service Rd.
Sterling, VA 20166
(703) 996-2200
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Page last modified: 5-Mar-2019 11:43 PM
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