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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center.
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About this graph
Forecasts for the North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg are issued routinely year-round.
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Downstream Gauge Downstream Gauge - at Millville
Zoom Level:14
Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage: 25
Moderate Flood Stage: 20
Flood Stage: 17
Action Stage: 10
Low Stage (in feet): 0

Historic Crests
(1) 32.27 ft on 09/07/1996
(2) 31.20 ft on 10/16/1942
(3) 30.21 ft on 03/18/1936
(4) 27.96 ft on 01/20/1996
(5) 27.37 ft on 11/05/1985
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 17.77 ft on 06/23/2018
(2) 18.13 ft on 06/04/2018
(3) 15.63 ft on 10/30/2012
(4) 19.07 ft on 05/18/2011
(5) 18.33 ft on 04/17/2011
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
(1) 1.50 ft on 02/09/1934
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Gauge LocationGauge Map Marker
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.
Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
25 Floodwaters reach the track and tennis courts at Strasburg High School.
20 Several roads are flooded near the river, especially south of Strasburg. Downstream, water begins to inundate the North Fork Campground. Campers and trailers will need to seek higher ground.
17 Significant flooding of fields is occurring. The Strasburg River Walk is flooded.
13 Agricultural flooding occurs near the river. Several low spots of Deer Rapids Road are flooded.
10 Livestock fields east of Strasburg begin to flood. The livestock should be moved to higher ground. Water approaches Deer Rapids Road south of Strasburg.
7 Several low water bridges over the North Fork of the Shenandoah River are covered by water. This will cut off access to homes and businesses. Residents should never attempt to drive across water-covered low water bridges!

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Additional Information Collapse
Potential River Levels - Used to
Potential River Levels
Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels
10 Day (HEFS) 7 Day (NAEFS) 7 Day (GEFS)
HEFS Ensemble NAEFS Ensemble  GEFS Ensemble 

Note: Use the official hydrograph at the top of this web page for river levels within the next 72 hours.

Click individual graphics to enlarge.

Collaborative Agencies Collapse
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.
NWS Information
National Weather Service
(Baltimore/Washington) Sterling Weather Forecast Office
43858 Weather Service Rd.
Sterling, VA 20166
(703) 996-2200
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:30 PM
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