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This probabilistic forecast is issued by the Arkansas Red-Basin River Forecast Center.

	Hydrograph			River at a Glance			Download			Probability Information Weekly Chance of Exceeding Levels Chance of Exceeding Levels During Entire Period Short-term Probabilistic Guidance (Experimental)

About this graph

Forecasts for the Black Bear Creek at Pawnee are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.

Return to Area Map

Zoom Level:14

Flood Categories (in feet)

Major Flood Stage:	25
Moderate Flood Stage:	21
Flood Stage:	17
Action Stage:	17
Low Stage (in feet):	-9999

Historic Crests
(1) 31.43 ft on 10/03/1959
(2) 28.19 ft on 05/19/1943
(3) 28.11 ft on 09/30/1945
(4) 27.30 ft on 05/25/1908
(5) 27.30 ft on 10/05/1986
Show More Historic Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Recent Crests
(1) 18.56 ft on 05/26/2019
(2) 17.08 ft on 05/25/2019
(3) 23.87 ft on 05/23/2019 (P)
(4) 26.18 ft on 05/21/2019
(5) 13.79 ft on 05/08/2019
Show More Recent Crests

(P): Preliminary values subject to further review.

Low Water Records
Currently none available.

	Gauge Location	Disclaimer
Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map is the approximate location based on the latitude/longitude coordinates provided to the NWS by the gauge owner.

Flood Impacts & Photos

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Webmaster
29	damaging flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Extreme overflows flood some residences with depths of several feet. Around 10 city blocks are affected. The all-time record flood was 31.4 feet on October 3, 1959. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
27	very severe flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Overflows flood some residences and isolate many other homes. This is similar to the flood of October 5, 1986 when the stage crested at 27.3 feet. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
25	severe flooding occurs from west of Pawnee to its confluence with the Arkansas River. Overflows isolate or flood some residences. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
23	moderate agricultural flooding occurs. The access road to the Pawnee Indian Agency and Hospital are closed. The Pawnee County Fairgrounds are flooded.
21	moderate agricultural flooding occurs. The Pawnee County Fairgrounds are flooded. The access road to the Pawnee Indian Agency and Hospital becomes impassable.
19	minor agricultural flooding occurs. The Pawnee County Fairgrounds and some access roads begin to flood.
17	minor farm and ranchland flooding occurs.
Photos (1) upstream (2) downstream

Other Real-time and/or Archive Data Sources:

Collaborative Agencies

The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

NWS Information

National Weather Service
Tulsa Weather Forecast Office
10159 E. 11th St. Suite 300
Tulsa, OK 74128
(918) 838-7838
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Page last modified: 2-Nov-2020 7:29 PM

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